![Portugal vs France predictions: Euro 2024 tips and odds](/https/www.telegraph.co.uk/content/dam/betting/better-collective-new/portugal-v-france-kits-euro2024.jpg?imwidth=680)
Portugal vs France predictions: Euro 2024 tips and odds
Gareth Freeman’s Portugal vs France betting tips include 6/4 , 21/20 and 14/1-priced selections, with Les Bleus backed to win
![Portugal vs France predictions: Euro 2024 tips and odds](/https/www.telegraph.co.uk/content/dam/betting/better-collective-new/portugal-v-france-kits-euro2024.jpg?imwidth=680)
Our betting expert has three Portugal vs France tips for tonight’s European Championship quarter-final in Hamburg (8pm BST kick-off). Scroll down for the analysis behind his selections.
Portugal vs France betting tips
- France to win @ 6/4 with BetMGM
- Over 4.5 Portugal corners @ 21/20 with BetMGM
- Bet builder – draw at half-time, Kylian Mbappe to score anytime, France most corners @ 14/1 with BetMGM
Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Already used the BetMGM sign-up offer? Check out all the latest bookmaker offers and best betting sites.
French can take advantage of Portuguese fatigue
These two nations have had to battle to reach the last eight of the tournament and it is fair to say we have not seen a vintage performance from either the World Cup runners-up or the 2016 champions just yet.
Les Bleus were heavily fancied after reaching the showpiece in Qatar in 2022, but they had to settle for second spot in the European group stages after drawing twice, before edging out Belgium 1-0 in the last 16.
Portugal qualified for the knockout phase with a game to spare after two wins but they then lost to minnows Georgia, while they needed extra time and penalties to overcome another unfancied side in the shape of Slovenia in the round of 16.
There does not appear to be a great deal to separate these nations tonight and both will need a bit more from their star players if they are to mount title challenges.
France’s Kylian Mbappe sustained a facial injury in the group stages and is playing with a mask. Whether that is impacting on his performances is unclear but, in any case, he is yet to really deliver with just one goal from the spot so far.
For Portugal, Cristiano Ronaldo has not scored yet and he missed a penalty in extra time against Slovenia.
Both nations have looked strong defensively at least and this game could well be decided by small margins.
That gives the French an edge as they managed to overcome the Belgians inside 90 minutes, while the Portuguese played a gruelling 120 minutes against a resolute Slovenian side before prevailing on spot kicks.
Fatigue could be a factor for Portugal’s squad, whereas France come into the game a little fresher. Didier Deschamps’ troops can prevail in the end but it is a match that could prove to be a war of attrition.
Portugal vs France tip 1: France to win @ 6/4 with BetMGM
Look to the Seleção in corners market
Portugal are 21/20 to get over 4.5 corners and that offers some appeal, particularly if this does become a tight contest where defences are largely on top.
Roberto Martinez’s side forced 11 flag kicks in total against Slovenia and are averaging 8.0 per game in normal time at this tournament. Couple that with France looking strong at the back and the Seleção may well see set pieces as their most likely route to a goal, given their own aerial strength.
Admittedly the French do not concede many corners, but they did give away 12 across their three games during the group stages and the Portuguese attack is likely to be the best they have faced so far.
It would certainly be no surprise to see Les Bleus concede at least five corners to Cristiano Ronaldo and Co.
Portugal vs France tip 2: Over 4.5 Portugal corners @ 21/20 with BetMGM
Mbappe can fire French to glory
France held a 1-0 lead over Austria at the interval in their opener, but that is the only time they have led at the break in Germany, with goalless first halves having been played out in each of their three games since.
A cagey start looks likely in Hamburg, as both teams are well organised but have struggled to find their rhythm offensively, which brings the draw at half-time into play.
Mbappe may be struggling to make an impact, but he still looks France’s most likely attacking threat. The Real Madrid new boy will also be on spot-kick duties, strengthening his case for a goal against Portugal.
Over 4.5 corners for the Seleção looks a good option for a single bet but that does not mean they will earn more than the French.
Les Bleus have won more corners than their opponents in each of their past three matches and, if they are protecting a slender lead towards the end of the contest, expect them to work the ball into the corners to see the game out.
Portugal vs France tip 3: Bet builder – draw at half-time, Kylian Mbappe to score anytime, France most corners @ 14/1 with BetMGM
Portugal vs France odds
Odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.
Find out what type of gambler you are by taking the Gamalyze test
Betting | Telegraph Media Group provides extensively researched, expert analysis, tips and odds to ensure readers are best informed when placing bets on football. Read more about our publishing principles here