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Venezuela vs Canada predictions: Copa America tips and odds
Enda McElhinney’s Venezuela vs Canada tips include 17/5, 10/1 and 5/1-priced selections, with Alphonso Davies backed to open the scoring
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Our betting expert has three tips for the Venezuela vs Canada Copa America quarter-final clash on Saturday at the AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas (2am BST kick-off). Scroll down for the analysis behind his selections.
Venezuela vs Canada betting tips
- Double result – draw/draw @ 17/5 with William Hill
- Alphonso Davies to score first @ 10/1 with William Hill
- Bet builder – under 2.5 goals, Alistair Johnston to be carded and over 7.5 total corners @ 5/1 with William Hill
Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
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Cagey affair likely
The Venezuelans came through a group including Ecuador, Mexico and Jamaica with three wins. It was an excellent effort from La Vinotinto but, like the Canadians, they were aided by red cards awarded to their opponents.
Ecuador played almost 70 minutes with 10 men in their opener but still Venezuela had to come from behind to win. Against Mexico, they conceded 62 per cent possession and had only two shots on target as Salomon Rondon’s penalty won it, while against Jamaica they met opposition that managed just one shot on target and were largely dispirited in the group finale.
The Canadians lost their opener to defending champions and 2022 World Cup winners Argentina before grinding out four points in clashes with Peru and Chile.
Both those nations had a man sent off, leaving Canada to play an aggregate 90 minutes against opponents a man light – and yet Jesse Marsch’s side scored only once in three games.
They have been solid at the back, only conceding to the Argentinians, and this game is likely to be low-scoring.
Two of the Canadians’ three group-stage fixtures were level at the interval, while Venezuela achieved the same statistic in their mini-league endeavours.
So far in their Copa America journey, neither of these nations have held a half-time advantage – and that may continue here before they ultimately end all square after 90 minutes.
Venezuela vs Canada tip 1: Double result – draw/draw @ 17/5 with William Hill
Roadrunner can be a threat to Venezuelans
At 23 years old, Alphonso Davies is already captain of Canada and the Bayern Munich star is perhaps the most talented player the Maple Leafs have produced.
He possesses raw pace and a fantastic engine to get up and down the pitch, earning himself the moniker “The Roadrunner”.
He is a threat in the final third, with five Bundesliga assists and two goals in the season just gone for Bayern.
His importance to the national team is, of course, that bit more critical and he is a leader in every sense. He already has 15 goals for Canada in 50 appearances and it would not be a shock if he managed to break the deadlock here.
Venezuela vs Canada tip 2: Alphonso Davies to score first @ 10/1 with William Hill
Johnston caution on the cards
A bet builder rounds off the selections for this Copa America last-eight showdown. With the prize of a semi-final against Argentina or Ecuador in the offing, this is clearly a major occasion for both teams.
Venezuela are Copa veterans but have only contested one semi-final before. Canada, in their tournament debut, would be overjoyed to make the final four.
It should lead to a tense and potentially cautious affair in Arlington, with goals at a premium and tempers inflamed.
Canada’s record of one scored and two conceded, alongside the fact that Venezuela only netted twice from open play before a late burst against Jamaica, means under 2.5 goals appeals.
Alistair Johnston was cautioned in two of four appearances for Celtic when they faced Rangers last season, suggesting the full back rises to an occasion.
He has had two bookings in his past four games for Canada too, including against Chile as tempers rose in a feisty second half, and he looks a prime contender to fall foul of the referee.
Finally, the Canadians had eight corners against the Chileans, while Venezuela managed nine in their match with Jamaica. Over 7.5 total corners between them looks a likely outcome.
Venezuela vs Canada tip 3: Bet builder – under 2.5 goals, Alistair Johnston to be carded and over 7.5 total corners @ 5/1 with William Hill
Venezuela vs Canada odds
Odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.
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