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Trade grades: Who wins the Blazers-Kings draft swap?

The Blazers traded up to select Zach Collins. AP Photo/Mark Humphrey

The deal

Blazers get: Rights to No. 10 pick Zach Collins

Kings get: Rights to No. 15 pick Justin Jackson, rights to No. 20 pick Harry Giles


Portland Trail Blazers: C-

This is an interesting trade from a value standpoint. According to my trade value chart for draft picks, the Blazers significantly overpaid, giving up picks that combined have historically provided teams about the same surplus value as the No. 5 overall pick.

At the same time, Portland can make a couple of points in favor of this move. First, it's possible the Blazers had Collins as high as fifth on their draft board. He ranked fifth in my consensus draft projections, based on his productive play in limited minutes at Gonzaga.

Portland also could note that not all picks have typical value, and NBA teams tended to believe that this year's draft dropped off significantly after about pick No. 10, meaning a trade up to that spot from 15 was probably more costly than usual. And for a team with three first-round picks, consolidating their value is a reasonable decision.

Ultimately, as with any trade like this, the outcome will probably be determined by player evaluation. If Collins is a standout, the price will be fine with the Blazers. In this case, I'm a little skeptical about whether he can play power forward in the NBA or will instead be limited to a backup role behind Jusuf Nurkic (and insurance should Nurkic leave via restricted free agency next summer).

If Collins proves capable of playing power forward, I'll feel a lot better about the value for Portland.


Sacramento Kings: A-

This is the second consecutive year the Kings have traded down.

Last season, while Marquese Chriss played well for Phoenix as a rookie and Georgios Papagiannis was an ... out-of-the-box? ... pick at No. 13 for the Kings, Sacramento also got Skal Labissiere at No. 28 and the rights to international star Bogdan Bogdanovic. Labissiere would surely go in the lottery if we were redrafting 2016, and maybe even ahead of Chriss, so the Kings came out of that one pretty well.

Which makes it fascinating that the Kings are trying something similar this year -- not just trading down, but also going for a prospect akin to Labissiere, whose college production did not live up to prep hype: Harry Giles.

In Giles' case, unlike with Labissiere, injuries are the likely culprit. If he can get back to being the elite prospect he was before a torn ACL (his second) wiped out his senior year of high school, Giles could be the steal of the draft. At the 10th pick, taking Giles might have been too risky. At 20, his upside is well worth it.

With the other pick from the Blazers, Sacramento filled its biggest need at small forward with Jackson. Add in De'Aaron Fox and I think this was a good night for the Kings.