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Kiper & McShay: 2020 NFL draft outlook for 10 college football stat leaders

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Burrow finds Chase for 1st TD of day (0:22)

Joe Burrow throws a 37-yard lob to Ja'Marr Chase who hauls it in for the first touchdown of the day early in the first quarter. (0:22)

College football Rivalry Week is here. It means there are several great games on deck ... but also that the end of the season is coming.

With just a couple of weekends remaining on the schedule, we asked our NFL draft experts Mel Kiper Jr. and Todd McShay to assess the outlook for 10 players currently leading FBS in an offensive stat. All 10 are eligible for the 2020 draft, but a few have eligibility remaining and could return to school for another season. Let's start with two of the top quarterbacks in the class, then run through running backs, wide receivers and tight ends.

Jump below for their picks for biggest risers and under-the-radar prospects to watch.

Total QBR

Tua Tagovailoa, Alabama: 94.4

If he were healthy, Tagovailoa might still be my QB1 for the 2020 NFL draft, and that sparkling 94.4 QBR stands as evidence. Obviously, his season is over, though, as he recovers from surgery on his hip, but early reports are he will make a full recovery.

My question is whether he regains his twitchiness and suddenness when he is back on the field. Those are key traits for the 6-foot-1, 218-pound lefty. He keeps his feet aligned with his eyes as he moves quickly and smoothly through his progressions and then is sudden in his release. That ability, combined with his downfield accuracy and skill in anticipating and leading receivers into the ball, makes him special. Is he still going to be effective in that area after surgery? -- McShay

Completion percentage

Joe Burrow, LSU: 78.9%

I wrote two weeks ago, before Tagovailoa was injured, that Burrow could be the No. 1 pick, and he is playing like the top quarterback in this class. If the 0-11 Cincinnati Bengals get that pick, could it come down to Ohio State pass-rusher Chase Young and Burrow -- an Ohio State transfer and Ohio native? That's a good problem to have. Burrow is up to 41 touchdown passes to just six interceptions, while completing 78.6% of his passes and averaging 10.9 yards per attempt. These are Heisman-winning numbers.

Burrow's improvement has been the biggest story of the college football season, and he is likely to be No. 1 on my QB rankings the rest of the way. -- Kiper

Passing yards and touchdown passes

Anthony Gordon, Washington State: 4,920 yards, 45 TDs

Gordon is one tough dude, and he is very underrated. He sees the whole field, has a good arm and anticipates well in his ball placement. And now he stands 80 passing yards away from cracking 5,000 (4,920 yards is already a Pac-12 record). Gordon has thrown for at least 400 yards in nine of 11 games this season, and he even clipped 600 in a 54-53 win over Oregon State on Saturday.

The 6-foot-3, 210-pound senior stepped in for Gardner Minshew II with the Cougars, and Gordon has tallied 45 touchdowns while completing 71.3% of his passes. Right now, Gordon is a potential Day 3 pick. -- McShay

Yards per attempt

Jalen Hurts, Oklahoma: 11.8

Hurts' stock has dropped on my board. When McShay and I discussed his future in early October, I was bullish -- if he kept up the same pace and showed improvement going through reads and seeing the field. That hasn't happened. After a hot start throwing the ball, Hurts has leveled off, putting up much better numbers with his legs. He has fumbled five times and thrown three interceptions in his past four games. Taking care of the ball was his greatest strength, but he has put out some bad tape lately.

Now Hurts has made progress with his arm. There's no question he has improved as a passer. But too often he scrambles and doesn't keep his head up to see the field. He is pulling the ball too early. In October, I thought he had a chance to be a second- or third-round pick, but I think he is more of a Day 3 pick at this point. His accuracy and ability to read the field and find his second and third reads are works in progress. -- Kiper

Total points scored

Jonathan Taylor, RB, Wisconsin: 132 (18 rushing TDs, 4 receiving TDs)

All Taylor does is take over stat sheets. The 5-foot-11, 219-pound back has 22 total touchdowns and 1,682 rushing yards on the season -- and that's after totaling 29 and 4,171 from 2017 and 2018. Taylor is instinctive between the tackles, and he displays patience and then makes defenders miss with his burst. I see him as the third-best running back in the class behind D'Andre Swift and J.K. Dobbins, and he is likely a second-round pick. Taylor has a lot of mileage on his legs, but he is a really competitive runner, and the team that drafts him will get a back with good vision and strong contact balance. -- McShay

Rushing yards

Chuba Hubbard, Oklahoma State: 1,832

The third-year sophomore -- No. 6 in my most recent running back rankings -- is an impressive one-cut runner who is being used as a true workhorse back. He is averaging a whopping 26 rushes per game as well as 6.4 yards per carry. At 6-foot-1 and 210 pounds, Hubbard has some burst and can break tackles, but I'd like to see him more involved in the passing game; he has just 18 catches this season, seven of which came in the win against West Virginia over the weekend. I have a Day 2 grade on him now, though he still could return to Oklahoma State in 2020. -- Kiper

Yards per carry

Travis Etienne, Clemson: 8.7

Etienne won't be confused with Swift, Dobbins or Taylor, and he likely leads the next tier of draft running backs. But make no mistake, the 5-foot-10, 210-pound running back has tons of explosion in his game. He has the ability to make a cut, make a defender miss and then just run away from the entire defense.

His pass protection has been up and down, and he is average as a pass-catcher, but Clemson has leaned on him as a rusher when its passing game has struggled. And why not when he is averaging nearly 9 yards per carry and has gained 1,335 rushing yards? Etienne is a midround pick, potentially coming off the board toward the end of Day 2. -- McShay

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Etienne powers into end zone

Clemson RB Travis Etienne runs up the gut and carries multiple defenders into the end zone for a 14-yard score.

Receiving yards for a WR

Omar Bayless, Arkansas State: 1,375

Bayless uses his 6-foot-3 frame extremely well, boxing out defenders with ease. He also tracks the ball well and has good hands. But I really want to see how the fifth-year senior runs at the combine, because I don't see a lot of separation on film. A bunch of his 80 catches this season have been contested. Yes, he gets credit for coming down with those, but I'd like to see him run by cornerbacks more. He has a Day 3 grade from me at this point, but he could rise if he tests well. -- Kiper

Receptions for a WR

Devin Duvernay, Texas: 97

A 5-foot-11, 210-pound senior, Duvernay has amassed 97 catches in 11 games as a favorite target of Texas quarterback Sam Ehlinger. Over his first three seasons, Duvernay combined for 70 catches. Now, he is just a few away from the century mark in 2019. He has only two games with fewer than eight receptions. Duvernay is really tough over the middle, and his hands have improved in his senior season. While I wouldn't call him fast, he is slippery and a stronger runner after the catch. Duvernay is turning himself into a potential Day 2 pick. -- McShay

Receiving yards and receptions for a TE

Harrison Bryant, Florida Atlantic: 890 yards, 58 catches

When I wrote about Bryant a few weeks ago, he had just lit up Old Dominion for eight catches and his first touchdown of the season. Now he is coming off a 10-catch, 182-yard, one-TD performance against UTSA in which he couldn't be covered. The 6-foot-5, 240-pound senior already has better numbers than he did in 2018, and he has improved as a blocker. He still is raw, but he is growing into his frame and has some upside as a pass-catcher. I have a fourth-round grade on him, but he could rise if he performs well in Senior Bowl practices and tests well at the combine. -- Kiper

Prospects on the rise

These are the 2020 NFL draft prospects moving up boards:

Michael Pittman Jr., WR, USC

The son of the former NFL running back with the same name, Pittman has 95 catches, 1,222 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns on the season as the first look for Trojans quarterback Kedon Slovis. The 6-foot-4, 220-pound receiver is a real grinder, and he reminds me a little of Los Angeles Chargers receiver Mike Williams. Pittman is a big possession pass-catcher with great hands. He has strength and is really tough to bring down after the reception. I doubt the Biletnikoff Award finalist gets out of Round 2 in April. -- McShay

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Pittman grabs 2nd TD in first half

Kedon Slovis finds Michael Pittman Jr. for a four-yard touchdown.

Yetur Gross-Matos, DE, Penn State

Gross-Matos had one of the most productive games of his career on Saturday, with two sacks, nine tackles and 3.5 total tackles for loss against Ohio State. The true junior has been in and out of my Big Board rankings this season; he started the season strongly but had a four-game stretch in which he didn't have a sack. I want to see more of how he played against the Buckeyes, as he showed some solid inside moves and used his length to move offensive tackles. At 6-foot-5 and 265 pounds, Gross-Matos still has room to grow into his frame. He is up to 8.5 sacks this season. In an edge-rushing class that lacks elite talent after Chase Young, Gross-Matos has a chance to move up. -- Kiper


Under-the-radar prospects to know

Keep an eye on these potential Day 2 or Day 3 picks:

Ben Bartch, OT, St. John's (Minnesota)

Looking for a Day 3 flier on an offensive tackle for April? Bartch could be your guy. A converted tight end, he has been the Johnnies' starting left tackle for the last two seasons. The 6-foot-6, 305-pounder has done enough to earn an invite to January's Senior Bowl in Mobile, Alabama, where he'll be able to compete against the top 2020 prospects across the country. Bartch moves his feet well for his size and dominates with a punch move at the Division III level, but I really want to see him at Senior Bowl practices in order to make a fuller evaluation. -- Kiper

Logan Wilson, ILB, Wyoming

I like what I've seen from the 6-foot-2, 250-pound linebacker, and I'm looking forward to seeing more of his game at the Senior Bowl in January. Wilson reads the quarterback so well, and as a former receiver, he has good hands. (He has four interceptions this season and 10 on his Wyoming career.) Wilson chases with good effort and is an above-average tackler. He has 88 tackles this season, along with seven pass breakups and 7.5 tackles for loss. Wilson is likely a Day 3 pick at the draft. -- McShay