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2024 Arizona Senate election

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Not to be confused with 2024 United States Senate election in Arizona.
See also: 2024 United States state legislative elections and 2024 Arizona elections

2024 Arizona Senate election
← 2022 November 5, 2024 2026 →
All 30 seats of the Arizona Senate
16 seats needed for a majority
 
Leader Warren Petersen Mitzi Epstein
Party Republican Democratic
Leader since January 9, 2023 March 2, 2023
Leader's seat 14th–Gilbert 12th–Chandler
Last election 16 seats, 53.8% 14 seats, 44.7%
Current seats 16 14
Seats needed Steady Increase 2
Post-primary state Senate election map.
Map of the incumbents:
     Republican incumbent
     Republican incumbent retiring or lost renomination
     Democratic incumbent
     Democratic incumbent retiring or lost renomination
Incumbent President of the Senate

Warren Petersen
Republican



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The 2024 Arizona Senate election will be held on November 5, 2024. Voters will elect members of the Arizona Senate in all 30 of the state's legislative districts to serve a two-year term. Primary elections are scheduled for July 30, 2024.[1]

Prior to the elections, the Republican Party held a narrow majority over the Democratic Party, controlling 16 seats to their 14 seats.

Partisan Background

[edit]

In the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden and Donald Trump each won 15 of Arizona's 30 Legislative Districts. Senate District 13, centered around the city of Chandler, which Biden won by 3% in 2020, is the only district Biden won in 2020 which is currently held by a Republican going into the 2024 Arizona Senate Election.

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
CNalysis[2] Tilt R May 16, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[3] Tossup June 18, 2024

Overview

[edit]
Party Candidates Votes Seats
No. % Before After +/–
Republican 16
Democratic 14
Total

Retiring incumbents

[edit]

Republicans

[edit]

Democrats

[edit]

Incumbents defeated

[edit]

In primaries

[edit]

Republicans

[edit]

Summary of results by district

[edit]

† - Incumbent not seeking re-election

District 2020 Pres.[8] Incumbent Party Elected Senator Outcome
1st R +28.6 Ken Bennett Rep TBD
2nd R +2.1 Shawnna Bolick[a] Rep TBD
3rd R +21.5 John Kavanagh Rep TBD
4th D +0.9 Christine Marsh Dem TBD
5th D +39.8 Lela Alston Dem TBD
6th D +33.1 Theresa Hatathlie Dem TBD
7th R +25.3 Wendy Rogers Rep TBD
8th D +28.8 Juan Mendez† Dem TBD
9th D +5.8 Eva Burch Dem TBD
10th R +20.4 David Christian Farnsworth Rep TBD
11th D +51.7 Catherine Miranda Dem TBD
12th D +18.6 Mitzi Epstein Dem TBD
13th D +2.9 J. D. Mesnard Rep TBD
14th R +15.1 Warren Petersen Rep TBD
15th R +27.2 Jake Hoffman Rep TBD
16th R +3.9 T. J. Shope Rep TBD
17th R +4.3 Justine Wadsack Rep TBD
18th D +24.0 Priya Sundareshan Dem TBD
19th R +21.8 David Gowan Rep TBD
20th D +50.6 Sally Ann Gonzales Dem TBD
21st D +28.5 Rosanna Gabaldón Dem TBD
22nd D +34.8 Eva Diaz Dem TBD
23rd D +13.5 Brian Fernandez Dem TBD
24th D +32.0 Anna Hernandez† Dem TBD
25th R +24.1 Sine Kerr† Rep TBD
26th D +38.9 Flavio Bravo[b] Dem TBD
27th R +7.8 Anthony Kern† Rep TBD
28th R +23.4 Frank Carroll Rep TBD
29th R +12.4 Janae Shamp Rep TBD
30th R +50.7 Sonny Borrelli† Rep TBD
  1. ^ Republican Shawnna Bolick was appointed to the Senate to fill the seat after Steve Kaiser resigned.[9]
  2. ^ Democrat Flavio Bravo was appointed to the Senate to fill the seat after Raquel Terán resigned.[10]

Results

[edit]
District 1 • District 2 • District 3 • District 4 • District 5 • District 6 • District 7 • District 8 • District 9 • District 10 • District 11 • District 12 • District 13 • District 14 • District 15 • District 16 • District 17 • District 18 • District 19 • District 20 • District 21 • District 22 • District 23 • District 24 • District 25 • District 26 • District 27 • District 28 • District 29 • District 30

District 1

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 1st legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican Mark Finchem 20,774 47.1
Republican Ken Bennett (incumbent) 15,114 34.27
Republican Steve Zipperman 8,219 18.63
Total votes 44,107 100%
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Mike Fogel 13,484 100
Total votes 13,484 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mike Fogel
Republican
Total votes 100%
hold

District 2

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 2nd legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican Shawnna Bolick (incumbent) 8,958 53.6
Republican Josh Barnett 7,754 46.4
Total votes 16,712 100%
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Judy Schwiebert 11,622 100
Total votes 11,622 100%
Green Party Primary Results
Green Dennis Pugsley 5 100
Total votes 5 100.00%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Judy Schwiebert
Republican
Green Dennis Pugsley
Total votes 100%
hold

District 3

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 3rd legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican John Kavanagh (incumbent) 32,965 100
Total votes 32,965 100%
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic John Skirbst[a]
Total votes 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Kavanagh (incumbent)
Total votes 100%
hold

District 4

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 4th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Christine Marsh (incumbent) 19,647 100
Total votes 19,647 100%
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican Carine Werner 16,022 61.19
Republican Kenneth R. Bowers, Jr. 10,161 38.81
Total votes 26,183 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Christine Marsh (incumbent)
Republican
Total votes 100%
hold

District 5

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 5th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Lela Alston (incumbent) 18,331 100
Total votes 18,331 100%
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican Joshua Ortega 7,039 100
Total votes 7,039 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Lela Alston (incumbent)
Republican Joshua Ortega
Total votes 100%
hold

District 6

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 6th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Theresa Hatathlie (incumbent) 14,369 100
Total votes 14,369 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Theresa Hatathlie (incumbent)
Total votes 100%
hold

District 7

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 7th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican Wendy Rogers (incumbent) 16,375 54.79
Republican David Cook 13,512 45.21
Total votes 29,887 100%
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Haley Creighton 7,280 54.03
Democratic Roberto Apodaca Reveles 6,194 45.97
Total votes 13,474 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Wendy Rogers (incumbent)
Democratic Haley Creighton
Total votes 100%
hold

District 8

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 8th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Lauren Kuby[12] 13,674 100
Democratic Melody Hernandez (withdrawn)[13]
Democratic Ivan Pemberton[a]
Total votes 13,674 100%
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican Roxana Holzapfel 7,378 100
Total votes 7,378 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Lauren Kuby
Republican Roxana Holzapfel
Total votes 100%
hold

District 9

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 9th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Eva Burch (incumbent) 8,643 100
Total votes 8,643 100%
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican Robert Scantlebury 7,929 63.75
Republican Christopher Stapley 4,508 36.25
Total votes 12,437 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Eva Burch (incumbent)
Republican Robert Scantlebury
Total votes 100%
hold

District 10

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 10th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican David Christian Farnsworth (incumbent) 19,398 100
Total votes 19,398 100%
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Robert Doyle 11,249 100
Total votes 11,249 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Christian Farnsworth (incumbent)
Democratic Robert Doyle
Total votes 100%
hold

District 11

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 11th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Catherine Miranda (incumbent) 11,636 100
Total votes 11,636 100%
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican Joshua Ayala 3,724 100
Total votes 3,724 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Catherine Miranda (incumbent)
Republican Joshua Ayala
Total votes 100%
hold

District 12

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 12th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Denise "Mitzi" Epstein (incumbent) 16,382 100
Total votes 16,382 100%
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican Cara Vicini 12,417 100
Total votes 12,417 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Denise "Mitzi" Epstein (incumbent)
Republican Cara Vicini
Total votes 100%
hold

District 13

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 13th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican J.D. Mesnard (incumbent) 16,337 100
Total votes 16,337 100%
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Sharon Winters 125,574 100
Total votes 125,574 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican J.D. Mesnard (incumbent)
Democratic Sharon Winters
Total votes 100%
hold

District 14

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 14th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican Warren Petersen (incumbent) 16,920 100
Total votes 16,920 100%
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Elizabeth Brown 9,289 100
Total votes 9,289 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Warren Petersen (incumbent)
Democratic Elizabeth Brown
Total votes 100%
hold

District 15

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 15th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican Jake Hoffman (incumbent) 18,942 100
Total votes 18,942 100%
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Alan Smith 8,650 100
Total votes 8,650 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jake Hoffman (incumbent)
Republican Alan Smith
Independent Evan Olson
Total votes 100%
hold

District 16

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 16th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican Thomas "T.J." Shope, Jr. (incumbent) 17,193 100
Republican Judy Nganga[a]
Total votes 17,193 100%
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Stacey Seaman 10,474 100
Total votes 10,474 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Thomas "T.J." Shope, Jr. (incumbent)
Democratic Stacey Seaman
Total votes 100%
hold

District 17

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 17th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican Venden "Vince" Leach 18,152 52.2
Republican Justine Wadsack (incumbent) 16,619 47.8
Total votes 34,771 100%
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic John McLean 22,712 100
Total votes 22,712 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John McLean
Republican Venden "Vince" Leach
Total votes 100%
hold

District 18

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 18th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Priya Sundareshan (incumbent) 25,098 100
Democratic Matt Welch (withdrawn)[13]
Total votes 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Priya Sundareshan (incumbent)
Total votes 100%
hold

District 19

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 19th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican David Gowan (incumbent) 26,751 100
Total votes 26,751 100%
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Bob Karp 15,192 100
Total votes 15,192 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Gowan (incumbent)
Democratic Bob Karp
Total votes 100%
hold

District 20

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 20th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Sally Ann Gonzales (incumbent) 23,318 100
Total votes 23,318 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sally Ann Gonzales (incumbent)
Total votes 100%
hold

District 21

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 21st legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Rosanna Gabaldón (incumbent) 19,235 100
Total votes 19,235 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Rosanna Gabaldón (incumbent)
Total votes 100%
hold

District 22

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 22nd legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Eva Diaz (incumbent) 5,945 76.3
Democratic Leezah Sun 1,847 23.7
Total votes 7,792 100%
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican Steve Robinson 4,137 100
Total votes 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Eva Diaz (incumbent)
Republican Steve Robinson
Total votes 100%
hold

District 23

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 23rd legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Brian Fernandez (incumbent) 5,704 60.56
Democratic Jesus Arnulfo Lugo, Jr. 3,714 39.44
Total votes 9,418 100%
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican Michelle Altherr 7,539 100
Total votes 7,539 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brian Fernandez (incumbent)
Republican Michelle Altherr
Total votes 100%
hold

District 24

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 24th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Analise Ortiz 6,485 86.88
Democratic Mario Garcia 979 13.12
Total votes 7,464 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Analise Ortiz
Total votes 100%
hold

District 25

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 25th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican Timothy "Tim" Dunn 19,749 100
Total votes 19,749 100%
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Sonya Willis (withdrawn)[13]
Total votes 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Timothy "Tim" Dunn
Total votes 100%
hold

District 26

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 26th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Flavio Bravo (incumbent) 6,492 100
Total votes 6,492 100%
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican Victor "Vic" Harris 2,993 100
Total votes 2,993 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Flavio Bravo (incumbent)
Republican Victor "Vic" Harris
Total votes 100%
hold

District 27

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 27th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican Kevin Payne 14,373 100
Total votes 14,373 100%
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Joshua Abbott (withdrawn late)[b]
Total votes 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kevin Payne
Total votes 100%
hold

District 28

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 28th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican Frank Carroll (incumbent) 29,606 100
Total votes 29,606 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Frank Carroll (incumbent)
Total votes 100%
hold

District 29

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 29th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican Janae Shamp (incumbent) 19,484 100
Total votes 19,484 100%
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic Eric Stafford 11,282 100
Total votes 11,282 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Janae Shamp (incumbent)
Democratic Eric Stafford
Total votes 100%
hold

District 30

[edit]
See also: Arizona's 30th legislative district
Primary Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Party Primary Results
Republican Hildy Angius 16,503 51.54
Republican Ashley Gerich 8,888 27.76
Republican Kimberly Zanon 6,626 20.7
Total votes 32,017 100%
Democratic Party Primary Results
Democratic J'aime Morgaine 6,825 100
Total votes 6,825 100%
General Election Results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Hildy Angius
Democratic J'aime Morgaine
Total votes 100%
hold

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c The candidate ran a write-in campaign.[11]
  2. ^ Abbott unofficially withdrew from the race but will continue to appear on the primary ballot.[14][15][16]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Arizona's new election dates: Here's what you need to know". KPNX. Retrieved April 25, 2024.
  2. ^ "24 AZ Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
  3. ^ Jacobson, Louis (June 18, 2024). "2024's Battleground State Legislative Chambers". Retrieved July 16, 2024.
  4. ^ Schutsky, Wayne (April 5, 2024). "These prominent Arizona Republican lawmakers aren't seeking reelection". KJZZ. Retrieved April 22, 2024.
  5. ^ Sanchez, Camryn (October 31, 2023). "West Valley lawmakers Kern and Toma enter CD8 race". KJZZ. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
  6. ^ Sanchez, Camryn (January 30, 2024). "Arizona state senator leaving 'gridlocked' Legislature to run for Phoenix City Council". KJZZ. Retrieved April 22, 2024.
  7. ^ a b Roberts, Laurie (August 1, 2024). "Farewell, Senator Speedy. Justine Wadsack loses to Vince Leach". Arizona Republic. Retrieved August 4, 2024.
  8. ^ "Dave's Redistricting". Retrieved July 16, 2024.
  9. ^ "New Republican senator bashes Freedom Caucus". Arizona Capitol Times. Retrieved July 21, 2023.
  10. ^ "Arizona Rep. Bravo chosen to fill Raquel Terán's Senate seat". The Associated Press. Retrieved July 19, 2023.
  11. ^ "2024 Write-In and Withdrawn Candidates" (PDF). Arizona Secretary of State. Retrieved July 12, 2024.
  12. ^ Duda, Jeremy (May 13, 2024). "Democrats sidestep write-in campaign by nominating state Senate candidate". Axios. Retrieved May 26, 2024.
  13. ^ a b c Sievers, Caitlin (April 16, 2024). "Candidates drop out, prepare for court amid petition signature challenges". AZ Mirror. Retrieved April 25, 2024.
  14. ^ "Arizona State Senate elections, 2024". Ballotpedia. Retrieved July 12, 2024.
  15. ^ "Joshua Abbott". Ballotpedia. Retrieved July 12, 2024.
  16. ^ "2024 Primary Election: Tuesday, July 30, 2024: Legislative Candidates". Arizona Secretary of State. Retrieved July 12, 2024.
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