Although the scientific principles of anthropogenic climate change are well-established, existing calculations of the warming effect of carbon dioxide rely on spectral absorption databases, which obscures the physical foundations of the climate problem. Here, we show how CO2 radiative forcing can be expressed via a first-principles description of the molecule's key vibrational-rotational transitions. Our analysis elucidates the dependence of carbon dioxide's effectiveness as a greenhouse gas on the Fermi resonance between the symmetric stretch mode ν1 and bending mode ν2. It is remarkable that an apparently accidental quantum resonance in an otherwise ordinary three-atom molecule has had such a large impact on our planet's climate over geologic time, and will also help determine its future warming due to human activity. In addition to providing a simple explanation of CO2 radiative forcing on Earth, our results may have implications for understanding radiation and climate on other planets.
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The American Astronomical Society (AAS), established in 1899 and based in Washington, DC, is the major organization of professional astronomers in North America. Its membership of about 7,000 individuals also includes physicists, mathematicians, geologists, engineers, and others whose research and educational interests lie within the broad spectrum of subjects comprising contemporary astronomy. The mission of the AAS is to enhance and share humanity's scientific understanding of the universe.
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The Institute of Physics (IOP) is a leading scientific society promoting physics and bringing physicists together for the benefit of all. It has a worldwide membership of around 50 000 comprising physicists from all sectors, as well as those with an interest in physics. It works to advance physics research, application and education; and engages with policy makers and the public to develop awareness and understanding of physics. Its publishing company, IOP Publishing, is a world leader in professional scientific communications.
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The Planetary Science Journal is an open access journal devoted to recent developments, discoveries, and theories in planetary science. The journal welcomes all aspects of investigation of the solar system and other planetary systems.
R. Wordsworth et al 2024 Planet. Sci. J. 5 67
Derek C. Richardson et al 2024 Planet. Sci. J. 5 182
NASA's Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) spacecraft impacted Dimorphos, the natural satellite of (65803) Didymos, on 2022 September 26, as a first successful test of kinetic impactor technology for deflecting a potentially hazardous object in space. The experiment resulted in a small change to the dynamical state of the Didymos system consistent with expectations and Level 1 mission requirements. In the preencounter paper, predictions were put forward regarding the pre- and postimpact dynamical state of the Didymos system. Here we assess these predictions, update preliminary findings published after the impact, report on new findings related to dynamics, and provide implications for ESA's Hera mission to Didymos, scheduled for launch in 2024 October with arrival in 2026 December. Preencounter predictions tested to date are largely in line with observations, despite the unexpected, flattened appearance of Didymos compared to the radar model and the apparent preimpact oblate shape of Dimorphos (with implications for the origin of the system that remain under investigation). New findings include that Dimorphos likely became prolate due to the impact and may have entered a tumbling rotation state. A possible detection of a postimpact transient secular decrease in the binary orbital period suggests possible dynamical coupling with persistent ejecta. Timescales for damping of any tumbling and clearing of any debris are uncertain. The largest uncertainty in the momentum transfer enhancement factor of the DART impact remains the mass of Dimorphos, which will be resolved by the Hera mission.
Jean-Luc Margot et al 2024 Planet. Sci. J. 5 159
The current International Astronomical Union (IAU) definition of "planet" is problematic because it is vague and excludes exoplanets. Here, we describe aspects of quantitative planetary taxonomy and examine the results of unsupervised clustering of solar system bodies to guide the development of possible classification frameworks. Two unsurprising conclusions emerged from the clustering analysis: (1) satellites are distinct from planets and (2) dynamical dominance is a natural organizing principle for planetary taxonomy. To generalize an existing dynamical dominance criterion, we adopt a universal clearing timescale applicable to all central bodies (brown dwarfs, stars, and stellar remnants). Then, we propose two quantitative, unified frameworks to define both planets and exoplanets. The first framework is aligned with both the IAU definition of planet in the solar system and the IAU working definition of an exoplanet. The second framework is a simpler mass-based framework that avoids some of the difficulties ingrained in current IAU recommendations.
Paul Wiegert 2024 Planet. Sci. J. 5 184
Apophis's current trajectory takes it safely past our planet at a distance of several Earth radii on 2029 April 13. Here the possibility is considered that Apophis could collide with a small asteroid, like the ones that frequently and unpredictably strike Earth, and the resulting perturbation of its trajectory. The probability of an impact that could significantly displace Apophis relative to its keyholes is found to be less than one in 106, requiring a Δv ≳ 0.3 mm s−1, while for an impact that could significantly displace Apophis compared to its miss distance in 2029, it is less than one in 109, requiring a Δv ≳ 5 cm s−1. These probabilities are below the usual thresholds considered by asteroid impact warning systems. Apophis is in the daytime sky and unobservable from mid-2021 to 2027. It will be challenging to determine from single-night observations in 2027 if Apophis has moved on the target plane enough to enter a dangerous keyhole, as the deviation from the nominal ephemeris might be only a few tenths of an arcsecond. An impending Earth impact would, however, be signaled clearly in most cases by deviations of tens of arcseconds of Apophis from its nominal ephemeris in 2027. Thus, most of the impact risk could be retired by a single observation of Apophis in 2027, though a minority of cases present some ambiguity and are discussed in more detail. Charts of the on-sky position of Apophis under different scenarios are presented for quick assessment by observers.
Ashley Gerard Davies et al 2024 Planet. Sci. J. 5 121
By combining multiple spacecraft and telescope data sets, the first fully global volcanic heat flow map of Io has been created, incorporating data down to spatial resolutions of ∼10 km pixel−1 in Io's polar regions. Juno Jovian Infrared Auroral Mapper data have filled coverage gaps in Io's polar regions and other areas poorly imaged by Galileo instruments. A total of 343 thermal sources are identified in data up to mid-2023. While poor correlations are found between the longitudinal distribution of volcanic thermal emission and radially integrated end-member models of internal heating, the best correlations are found with shallow asthenospheric tidal heating and magma ocean models and negative correlations with the deep-mantle heating model. The presence of polar volcanoes supports, but does not necessarily confirm, the presence of a magma ocean on Io. We find that the number of active volcanoes per unit area in polar regions is no different from that at lower latitudes, but we find that Io's polar volcanoes are smaller, in terms of thermal emission, than those at lower latitudes. Half as much energy is emitted from polar volcanoes as from those at lower latitudes, and the thermal emission from the north polar cap volcanoes is twice that of those in the south polar cap. Apparent dichotomies in terms of volcanic advection and resulting power output exist between sub- and anti-Jovian hemispheres, between polar regions and lower latitudes, and between the north and south polar regions, possibly due to internal asymmetries or variations in lithospheric thickness.
Samantha Gwizd et al 2024 Planet. Sci. J. 5 172
The Rover–Aerial Vehicle Exploration Network project field-tested planetary mission operations within a Mars analog environment in Iceland using stand-alone rover and helicopter architectures. Mission planning, implementation, and results are reported for the rover mission and briefly summarized for the helicopter mission. The outcomes of both missions are subsequently compared. Field implementation occurred from 2022 July to August at the Holuhraun lava flow. The rover science operations team executed a 14 sol (Martian day) mission that achieved mission, science, and sampling goals, including the contextualization, acquisition, and planned caching of two eolian and two rock samples. The helicopter science operations team executed a plan of comparable length but emphasized different science goals given long-range flight capabilities and landing limitations. The resolution and targetability of the rover payload enabled more detailed analyses, whereas the helicopter was better able to map flow-scale morphologies. The rover's exploration was limited by daily mobility duration limits and hazardous terrain, whereas the helicopter's exploration was constrained by landing site hazards. Resource limitations resulted from lengthier rover drives and data-volume-intensive helicopter imaging surveys. Future missions using combined rover–helicopter architectures should account for each spacecraft's resource needs and acknowledge system strengths in different geologic settings. Both missions served to establish operations strategies and mission outcomes to be applied to future combined rover and helicopter mission architectures, while the helicopter mission also evaluated strategies and outcomes for future stand-alone airborne missions. Findings in this work are relevant to future missions seeking to optimize strategies for planetary mission operations.
Shannon M. MacKenzie et al 2024 Planet. Sci. J. 5 176
Evidence for the beneficial role of impacts in the creation of urable or habitable environments on Earth prompts the question of whether meteorite impacts could play a similar role at other potentially urable/habitable worlds like Enceladus, Europa, and Titan. In this work, we demonstrate that to first order, impact conditions on these worlds are likely to have been consistent with the survival of organic compounds and/or sufficient for promoting synthesis in impact melt. We also calculate melt production and freezing times for crater sizes found at Enceladus, Europa, and Titan and find that even the smallest craters at these worlds offer the potential to study the evolution of chemical pathways within impact melt. These first-order calculations point to a critical need to investigate these processes at higher fidelity with lab experiments, sophisticated thermodynamic and chemical modeling, and, eventually, in situ investigations by missions.
Brant M. Jones et al 2024 Planet. Sci. J. 5 171
The kinetics of water formation on the lunar surface from impact-driven melts (IM) of meteoroids and recombinative desorption (RD) of solar-wind-implanted regolith grains is assessed. The ratio of water generated from RD:IM is ultimately controlled by the diffusion constant of the implanted defects. Higher diffusion activation energies of hydroxyls (-OH) result in more trapping of the implanted defects and, consequently, higher water production from IM versus RD. At diffusion activation energies >1 eV, water production from RD is negligible and IM is the dominant channel. Our results suggest that RD can be associated with the observed latitude and diurnal dependence but RD and/or micrometeorite IM are not major contributors to the water ice observed within the permanently shadowed regions (PSRs). This suggests that volcanic and/or delivery via large impactors are the more likely major sources of water on the Moon. However, our model generally agrees with the observed latitudinal dependence of the inferred OH/H2O and the overall diurnal trend from orbital observations in the infrared. In addition, our results also suggest that micrometeorites are responsible for the high content of molecular water in the glass of regolith grains.
Mary T. Burkey et al 2023 Planet. Sci. J. 4 243
In the event of a potentially catastrophic asteroid impact, with sufficient warning time, deploying a nuclear device remains a powerful option for planetary defense if a kinetic impactor or other means of deflection proves insufficient. Predicting the effectiveness of a potential nuclear deflection or disruption mission depends on accurate multiphysics simulations of the device's X-ray energy deposition into the asteroid and the resulting material ablation. The relevant physics in these simulations span many orders of magnitude, require a variety of different complex physics packages, and are computationally expensive. Having an efficient and accurate way of modeling this system is necessary for exploring a mission's sensitivity to the asteroid's range of physical properties. To expedite future simulations, we present a completed X-ray energy deposition model developed using the radiation-hydrodynamics code Kull that can be used to initiate a nuclear mitigation mission calculation. The model spans a wide variety of possible mission initial conditions: four different asteroid-like materials at a range of porosities, two different source spectra, and a broad range of radiation fluences, source durations, and angles of incidence. Using blowoff momentum as the primary metric, the model-initiated simulation results match the full radiation-hydrodynamics results to within 10%.
Olivier Mousis et al 2024 Planet. Sci. J. 5 173
This study, placed in the context of the preparation for the Uranus Orbiter Probe mission, aims to predict the bulk volatile compositions of Uranus and Neptune. Using a protoplanetary disk model, it examines the evolution of trace species through vapor and solid transport as dust and pebbles. Due to the high carbon abundance found in their envelopes, the two planets are postulated to have formed at the carbon monoxide ice line within the protosolar nebula. The time evolution of the abundances of the major volatile species at the location of the CO ice line is then calculated to derive the abundance ratios of the corresponding key elements, including the heavy noble gases, in the feeding zones of Uranus and Neptune. Supersolar metallicity in their envelopes likely results from accreting solids in these zones. Two types of solids are considered: pure condensates (Case 1) and a mixture of pure condensates and clathrates (Case 2). The model, calibrated to observed carbon enrichments, predicts deep compositions. In Case 1, argon is deeply depleted, while nitrogen, oxygen, krypton, phosphorus, sulfur, and xenon are significantly enriched relative to their protosolar abundances in the two planets. Case 2 predicts significant enrichments for all species, including argon, relative to their protosolar abundances. Consequently, Case 1 predicts near-zero Ar/Kr or Ar/Xe ratios, while Case 2 suggests that these ratios are 0.1 and 0.5–1 times their protosolar ratios, respectively. Both cases predict a bulk sulfur-to-nitrogen ratio consistent with atmospheric measurements.
Thomas H. Burbine et al 2024 Planet. Sci. J. 5 194
The most widely used method to spectrally classify asteroids is the Bus–DeMeo taxonomy. To test how well the Bus–DeMeo taxonomy groups asteroids on the basis of their mineralogy, we have classified ∼1500 meteorite spectra using this Bus–DeMeo system. Some asteroid classes group together meteorites with similar compositions better than others. Howardite, eucrite, and diogenite spectra tend to be classified as V-types, while ordinary chondrite spectra tend to be classified as S-complex or Q-type bodies. The relatively featureless D- and X-types tend to be dominated by CM carbonaceous chondrites but with a substantial number of matches also with iron meteorites. The large proportion of CM chondrite matches for the D- and X-classes is most likely due to the large number of CM chondrite spectra and the rarity of spectra of more fragile carbonaceous chondrites in our data set. A number of relatively featureless asteroid classes like the C-, B-, L-, and Xc-types group meteorite types together with a wide variety of mineralogies and thermal histories. Visual albedos are vital for distinguishing between many of these assemblages. The Bus–DeMeo taxonomy does have trouble classifying olivine-dominated meteorites that do not have red-sloped spectra because this type of spectrum is rare among asteroids. For many asteroid classes, care must be used when making mineralogical interpretations based solely on spectral type.
Matthew Belyakov et al 2024 Planet. Sci. J. 5 193
An important testable prediction of dynamical instability models for the early evolution of the solar system is that Jupiter Trojans share a source population with the Kuiper Belt. Concrete evidence of this prediction remains elusive, as Kuiper Belt objects (KBOs) and Jupiter Trojans appear to have different surface compositions. We address the long-standing question of Trojan origin by finding a dynamical subpopulation in the Kuiper Belt with Trojan-like colors. Combining existing photometric data with our own surveys on Keck I and Palomar P200, we find that the low-perihelion (q < 30 au, a > 30 au) component of the Kuiper Belt has colors that bifurcate similarly to the Jupiter Trojans, unlike Centaurs (a < 30 au), which have redder, Kuiper Belt-like colors. To connect the Jupiter Trojans to the Kuiper Belt, we test whether the distinct Trojan-like colors of low-perihelion KBOs result from surface processing or are sourced from a specific population in the Kuiper Belt. By simulating the evolution of the Canada–France Ecliptic Plane Survey synthetic population of KBOs for four billion years, we find that differences in heating timescales cannot result in a significant depletion of very red low-perihelion KBOs as compared to the Centaurs. We find that the neutrally colored scattered disk objects (e > 0.6 KBOs) contribute more to the low-perihelion KBO population than to Centaurs, resulting in their different colors.
Yoshinori Miyazaki and David J. Stevenson 2024 Planet. Sci. J. 5 192
Small planetary bodies in the solar system, including Io, Ganymede, and Callisto, may have a crust denser than their underlying mantle. Despite the inherent gravitational instability of such structures, we show that the growth timescale of the Rayleigh–Taylor (RT) instability can be as long as the age of the solar system, owing to the strong temperature dependence of viscosity. Even in cases where the instability timescale is shorter, the instability is confined to a thin layer at the base of the crust, making the foundering of the entire crust improbable in many scenarios. This study delineates the onset and aftermath of the RT instability, applying a quantitative framework to assess the stability of (i) rock-contaminated crust on icy satellites, and (ii) silicate crust floating on top of a subsurface magma ocean on Io. Notably, for Io the RT instability peels off only 10–100 m from the crust's base, and thermal diffusion rapidly recovers the crustal thickness through solidification of a magma ocean. Despite recurrent delamination of the crustal base, the initial crustal thickness is maintained by thermal diffusion, virtually stabilizing a floating dense crust. Cracking of the crust also is unlikely to result in the foundering of the crust. A dense crust on a small body is therefore difficult to be overturned, suggesting the potential ubiquity of dense surface layers throughout the solar system.
Emileigh S. Shoemaker et al 2024 Planet. Sci. J. 5 191
Perseverance traversed the eastern, northern, and western margins of the Séítah formation inlier on the rover's western fan front approach. Mapping the stratigraphy and extent of the Máaz and Séítah formations is key to understanding the depositional history and timing of crater floor resurfacing events. Perseverance's rapid progress across the Jezero crater floor between the Octavia E. Butler landing site and the western fan front resulted in limited contextual images of the deposits from the Navigation Camera and Mast Camera Zoom. By combining the limited surface images with continuous subsurface sounding by the Radar Imager for Mars' Subsurface Experiment (RIMFAX) ground-penetrating radar, Jezero crater floor stratigraphy was inferred along this rapid traverse. We produced the first subsurface map of the Máaz formation thickness and elevation of the buried Séítah formation for 2.3 km of the rapid traverse. Three distinct reflector packets were observed in RIMFAX profiles interspersed with regions of low-radar reflectivity. We interpret these reflector packets with increasing depth to be the Roubion member of the Máaz formation (covered in places with regolith), the Rochette member, and the Séítah formation. We found a median permittivity of 9.0 and bulk density of 3.2 g cm−3 from hyperbola fits to RIMFAX profiles, which suggests a mafic composition for Máaz and Séítah. The low-radar reflectivity regions within each reflector packet could indicate potential depositional hiatuses where low-density material like sediment or regolith could have accumulated between successive Máaz formation lava flows and the Séítah formation at depth.
A. Tulekeyev et al 2024 Planet. Sci. J. 5 190
Post-Cassini ring seismology analysis suggests the existence of a stable stratification inside Saturn that extends from the center to ∼60% of its radius, in what is recognized today as Saturn's dilute core. Similarly, gravity measurements on Jupiter suggest the existence of a dilute core of weekly constrained radial extent. These cores are likely in a double-diffusive regime, which prompts the question of their long-term stability. Indeed, previous direct numerical simulation (DNS) studies in triply periodic domains have shown that, in some regimes, double-diffusive convection tends to spontaneously form shallow convective layers, which coarsen until the region becomes fully convective. In this paper, we study the conditions for layering in double-diffusive convection using different boundary conditions, in which temperature and composition fluxes are fixed at the domain boundaries. We run a suite of DNSs varying microscopic diffusivities of the fluid and the strength of the initial stratification. We find that convective layers still form as a result of the previously discovered γ-instability, which takes place whenever the local stratification drops below a critical threshold that only depends on the fluid diffusivities. We also find that the layers grow once formed, eventually occupying the entire domain. Our work thus recovers the results of previous studies, despite the new boundary conditions, suggesting that this behavior is universal. The existence of Saturn's stably stratified core, today, therefore suggests that this threshold has never been reached, which places a new constraint on scenarios for the planet's formation and evolution.