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Hot Tax Day, Cooler Primary Day: New Rochelle's Work Week Forecast

Mild weather should boost voter turnout, according to an analysis.

Enjoy Monday.

"It’s going to be beautiful!" said Bill Potter of Hudson Valley Weather. "We’ll have lots of sunshine for most of the day, and a warm SW breeze. That should translate into highs between 75° and 80° across the region. That’s a solid 15° above average!"

But bring the sweaters back out Tuesday, especially for those planning on voting in the New York Primary. Monday's high temperatures will be replaced with highs only in the 50s,

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AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions predicts that based on past election and weather trends, the mainly tranquil weather should only help the turnout.

New Yorkers tend to have a higher weather sensitivity compared to other voters in the United States, according to the AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions study. The research, conducted by AccuWeather Business Intelligence Manager and Meteorologist Tim Loftus, analyzed overall weather trends and voting data, utilizing L2 as a resource.

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"Generally, the warmer the low temperature, the more New Yorkers tend to go out to vote," Loftus said. "New Yorkers are most deterred during windy conditions, especially when rain is present."

Loftus said that New York voters, particularly those over 64, are extremely sensitive to weather; and Republicans notably have a lower turnout when it's colder.

"Over 25 percent of the change in voter turnout in primary elections can be explained by weather in our model," he added.

The National Weather Service issued this forecast for Westchester County:

  • Today: Sunny, with a high near 75. North wind around 8 mph becoming east in the afternoon.
  • Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 51. South wind 3 to 5 mph.
  • Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 67. Northwest wind 7 to 15 mph.
  • Tuesday Night: Clear, with a low around 41. Northwest wind around 11 mph.
  • Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 62. North wind 7 to 10 mph.
  • Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42.
  • Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66.
  • Thursday Night: A chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
  • Friday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
  • Friday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

MAP: AccuWeather.com


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