WNBA Best Bets Today | Expert Picks for Saturday, July 13
Angel Reese #5 of the Chicago Sky looks to pass against the Seattle Storm at Climate Pledge Arena on July 05, 2024 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images)
We have a back-to-back matinee of WNBA matchups for Saturday. The New York Liberty and Chicago Sky meet again for the second time this week as the double-double watch on Angel Reese continues against the W's best team in the league at 1 p.m. ET on ABC.
Arike Ogunbowale and the Dallas Wings followup as they play host to the Los Angeles Sparks at 3:30 p.m. ET on CBS.
With games tipping off early, let's not hold off any longer on our WNBA best bets for Saturday, July 13.
WNBA Best Bets Today | Saturday, July 13
Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
---|---|---|
3:30 p.m. | ||
1 p.m. | ||
3:30 p.m. | ||
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our WNBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. |
Sparks vs. Wings
McCowan has taken Dallas' first shot in 13 of her 22 starts (59%). For every player with at least 10 starts across the WNBA, that percentage leads the league.
The Sparks have surrendered the largest restricted area field goal percentage and second largest paint field goal percentage since rookie Cameron Brink tore her ACL. Look for McCowan to take advantage and have a strong night inside the paint.
I recommend playing this at three quarters of a unit and down to +180 odds.
Pick: Teaira McCowan First Wings Basket (+270)
Liberty vs. Sky
By William Boor
Yes, Angel Reese has notched 15 straight double-doubles, but 13 rebounds is a lot.
Reese had 10 rebounds (still very impressive) against the Liberty on Thursday, but needed five boards in the fourth quarter to get there and three of her rebounds were offensive rebounds off her own missed shots.
It took a lot for her to get to 10 and if things don't go as well today — or if she shoots more effeciently and doesn't clean up her own misses on the offensive glass — her double-double streak could come to an end. Regardless, even if she extends the streak, I don't see her getting to 13 rebounds.
I bet the under on her rebounds on Thursday, and the fact that we get this at plus money for Saturday has me even more excited.
In three matchups against the Liberty this season, Reese has tallied 10, 10 and nine rebounds. What's more, the Liberty have yet to allow an opponent to grab 13 boards in any game this season.
Reese has been playing well and deserves plenty of credit, but this line is inflated. Grab the under while it's still at plus money.
Pick: Angel Reese Under 12.5 Rebounds (+110)
Sparks vs. Wings
Two teams at the bottom of the standings will meet on Saturday afternoon, with the Dallas Wings (5-18) hosting the Los Angeles Sparks (5-17).
Dallas’ issues this season have largely been on the defensive end of the floor. It ranks last in efficiency, allowing 109.4 points per 100 possessions.
The biggest surprise is that Dallas continues to play quickly, ranking third in possessions (81.12) per 40 minutes—further exposing its vulnerabilities defensively.
Thus, it’s no surprise that Dallas is the most profitable team for over-bettors with a 15-7-1 mark.
After opening at 166.5, the total for Saturday’s game is now 170.5 across the board.
However, that number feels a bit steep for a game involving a Sparks team. The Sparks are three spots below Dallas in offensive efficiency at No. 11, with 97.5 points per 100 possessions.
If we apply this current total in Dallas’s games against teams ranked below it in offensive efficiency, the over would’ve cashed just once in nine games.
There’s certainly a contrarian angle worth exploring in this matchup and I’m willing to fade the market move at 170.5 or better.
Pick: Under 170.5 points (-106)
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