Inflation shows both the value and limits of monetary-policy rules
A search for the right equation to overcome the fallibility of human judgment
![](https://www.economist.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=1424,quality=80,format=auto/media-assets/image/20220716_FND000.jpg)
It was a curious omission. In February, when the Federal Reserve published the winter edition of its semi-annual report to Congress, it dropped a normal section outlining the appropriate level of interest rates as determined by “monetary-policy rules”. Its inclusion might have been awkward, because it would have suggested that rates should be as high as 9%, when the Fed still had them near to 0%. In subsequent hearings at least three members of Congress pressed Jerome Powell, the Fed’s chairman, to explain its absence. Mr Powell promised that the section would be back in its next report. And so it was when the summer edition was published on June 17th—though only after the Fed had started to catch up to the rules’ prescriptions by rapidly raising rates.
This article appeared in the Finance & economics section of the print edition under the headline “Disciples of discipline”
Finance & economics July 16th 2022
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- Inflation shows both the value and limits of monetary-policy rules
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