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384 pages, Paperback
First published January 1, 1997
The plain consequence is (and it is a general maxim worthy of our attention), “That no testimony is sufficient to establish a miracle, unless the testimony be of such a kind, that its falsehood would be more miraculous than the fact which it endeavors to establish.”To put it in simple terms: if someone told me that he saw a pink elephant in his drawing room in the morning, I would think that he had a drop too much the night before, instead of going on an expedition to discover this rare pachyderm.
For those of us in the business of debunking bunk and explaining the unexplained, this is what I call the Hard Question: Why do smart people believe weird things? My Easy Answer will seem somewhat paradoxical at first: Smart people believe weird things because they are skilled at defending beliefs they arrived at for non-smart reasons.To put it simply: for the majority of humanity, deeply ingrained beliefs are not the result of logical ratiocination but rather due to "genetic predispositions, parental predilections, sibling influences, peer pressures, educational experiences, and life impressions". That is, we have formed a worldview by the time we encounter critical thinking. (For example, as a Hindu, it was very difficult for me to reject the Upanishadic idea of the Brahman. I kept on trying to find scientific explanations for it, before finally admitting it was only a philosophical conjecture.)
It seems to me what is called for is an exquisite balance between two conflicting needs: the most skeptical scrutiny of all hypotheses that are served up to us and at the same time a great openness to new ideas. If you are only skeptical, then no new ideas make it through to you. You never learn anything new. You become a crotchety old person convinced that nonsense is ruling the world. (There is, of course, much data to support you.)I have a simpler definition which I use myself. "Keep an open mind - but put up a strong bullshit filter."
On the other hand, if you are open to the point of gullibility and have not an ounce of skeptical sense in you, then you cannot distinguish useful ideas from the worthless ones. If all ideas have equal validity then you are lost, because then, it seems to me, no ideas have any validity at all.
Prin metoda științifică, tindem spre obiectivitate: fundamentarea concluziilor pe validare exterioară. Și evităm misticismul: fundamentarea concluziilor pe trăiri personale care eludează validarea exterioară.
...oamenii sunt, prin natura lor, o specie care privește înainte, căutând mereu să-și sporească fericirea și mulțumirea. Din păcate, corolarul este că oamenii sunt prea adesea înclinați să se agațe de promisiuni nerealiste privind o viață mai bună sau să creadă că pot ajunge la o viață mai bună doar rămânând intoleranți și ignoranți. Uneori, concentrându-ne asupra vieții viitoare, pierdem din vedere viața aceasta. Dar speranța ar putea veni din altă parte. Am putea spera că inteligența umană, însoțită de compasiune, e în stare să rezolve nenumăratele noastre probleme și să ne aducă o viață mai bună, că progresul istoric ne va aduce libertate și toleranță, iar că rațiunea și știința, împreună cu dragostea și empatia, ne pot ajuta să ne înțelegem universul, lumea și pe noi înșine.