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California Election Results

U.S. Senate

Latest results from Dec. 20
Vote totals certified

U.S. Senate race called.

U.S. Senate
Candidate Party Votes Percent
Alex Padillaincumbent Winner
Democrat Dem. 6,621,621 61.1%
Mark Meuser
Republican Rep. 4,222,029 38.9
Total reported
10,843,650

*Incumbent

Timing of results

The state mailed ballots to all active voters. Ballots postmarked by Election Day have a week to arrive.

Governor

Gov. Gavin Newsom of California, the Democrat who easily beat back a Republican-led recall effort last year, will face State Senator Brian Dahle, a Republican.

Latest results from Dec. 20
Vote totals certified

Governor race called.

Governor
Candidate Party Votes Percent
Gavin Newsomincumbent Winner
Democrat Dem. 6,470,104 59.2%
Brian Dahle
Republican Rep. 4,462,914 40.8
Total reported
10,933,018

*Incumbent

U.S. House

Key Races

Key Races
A Democratic state assemblyman, Adam Gray, and a Republican businessman, John Duarte, are competing in a Central Valley region that leans Democratic but remains a perennial California battleground.

100% of votes in

Representative David Valadao, a Republican running in a strongly Democratic district, is facing a challenge from Rudy Salas, a five-term Democratic assemblyman. Mr. Valadao is one of the 10 House Republicans who voted to impeach President Donald J. Trump.

100% of votes in

Representative Mike Garcia, a Republican, will face Christy Smith, a former Democratic state legislator, for the third time. The race is in a northern Los Angeles County district that was once a Republican stronghold but could now swing either way.

100% of votes in

Representative Ken Calvert, a 30-year incumbent Republican, is facing Will Rollins, a former federal prosecutor, in a desert district made more competitive this year after it was redrawn to include Palm Springs, which has a sizable L.G.B.T.Q. community.

100% of votes in

Representative Michelle Steel, a freshman Republican in a Southern California district that leans Democratic, will take on Jay Chen, a Democrat and Navy reservist, in one of the most watched races of the general election.

100% of votes in

Representative Katie Porter, a powerhouse fund-raiser and a popular figure for the activist left, is being challenged by Scott Baugh, the former Republican leader of the California Assembly, in a newly drawn district that leans slightly Democratic.

100% of votes in

All Races

State Legislature

Trifecta status

Tracking state government party control in California

Governor
democrat
State Senate
democrat
State Assembly
democrat

State Senate

0

31 Dem.

8 Rep.

State Senate
District Dist. Candidates Candidates Percent of votes in
2
McGuireincumbent Democrat 73%
Winner
Yoon Republican 27%
<1%
4
Alvarado-Gil Democrat 53%
Winner
Robertson Democrat 47%
<1%
6
Niello Republican 56%
Winner
Villescaz Democrat 44%
<1%
8
Ashby Democrat 52%
Winner
Jones Democrat 48%
<1%
10
Wahab Democrat 54%
Winner
Mei Democrat 46%
<1%
12
Groveincumbent Republican 69%
Winner
Gundy Democrat 31%
<1%
14
Caballeroincumbent Democrat 56%
Winner
Shor Republican 44%
<1%
16
Hurtadoincumbent Democrat 50.0%
Shepard Republican 50.0%
<1%
18
Padilla Democrat 60%
Winner
Galicia Republican 40%
<1%
20
Menjivar Democrat 58%
Winner
Hertzberg Democrat 42%
<1%
22
Rubioincumbent Democrat 59%
Winner
Tsai Republican 41%
<1%
24
Allenincumbent Democrat 67%
Winner
Irwin Republican 33%
<1%
26
Durazoincumbent Democrat 83%
Winner
Agraz Republican 17%
<1%
28
Smallwood-Cuevas Democrat 60%
Winner
Turner Democrat 40%
<1%
30
Archuletaincumbent Democrat 61%
Winner
Clemmons Republican 39%
<1%
32
Seyarto Republican 62%
Winner
Nash Democrat 38%
<1%
34
Umbergincumbent Democrat 59%
Winner
Shader Republican 41%
<1%
36
Nguyen Republican 57%
Winner
Carr Democrat 43%
<1%
38
Blakespear Democrat 52%
Winner
Gunderson Republican 48%
<1%
40
Jonesincumbent Republican 53%
Winner
Rocha Democrat 47%
<1%

*Incumbent

State Assembly

0

62 Dem.

18 Rep.

State Assembly
District Dist. Candidates Candidates Percent of votes in
1
Dahleincumbent Republican 62%
Winner
Sandwith Democrat 38%
<1%
2
Woodincumbent Democrat 69%
Winner
Svolos Republican 31%
<1%
3
Gallagherincumbent Republican 65%
Winner
Zink Democrat 35%
<1%
4
Aguiar-Curryincumbent Democrat 65%
Winner
Pritchard Republican 35%
<1%
5
Patterson Republican 60%
Winner
Chenoweth Democrat 40%
<1%
6
McCartyincumbent Democrat 66%
Winner
Cook Republican 34%
<1%
7
Hoover Republican 50.4%
Winner
Cooleyincumbent Democrat 49.6%
<1%
8
Pattersonincumbent Republican 74%
Winner
Nichols Libertarian 26%
<1%
9
Floraincumbent Republican 69%
Winner
Tahirkheli Democrat 31%
<1%
10
Nguyen Democrat 54%
Winner
Guerra Democrat 46%
<1%
11
Wilsonincumbent Democrat 59%
Winner
Callison Independent 41%
<1%
12
Connolly Democrat 52%
Winner
Aminzadeh Democrat 48%
<1%
13
Villapuduaincumbent Democrat 61%
Winner
Vargas Democrat 39%
<1%
14
Wicksincumbent Democrat 88%
Winner
Kinney Republican 12%
<1%
15
Graysonincumbent Democrat 67%
Winner
Proctor Republican 33%
<1%
16
Bauer-Kahanincumbent Democrat 66%
Winner
Rubay Republican 34%
<1%
17
Haneyincumbent Democrat 69%
Winner
Campos Democrat 31%
<1%
18
Bontaincumbent Democrat 90%
Winner
Pechenuk Republican 10%
<1%
19
Tingincumbent Democrat 81%
Winner
Weide Republican 19%
<1%
20
Ortega Democrat 62%
Winner
Kumagai Democrat 38%
<1%
21
Papan Democrat 72%
Winner
Hale Democrat 28%
<1%
22
Alanis Republican 58%
Winner
Self Democrat 42%
<1%
23
Bermanincumbent Democrat 73%
Winner
Dec Republican 27%
<1%
24
Leeincumbent Democrat 69%
Winner
Brunton Republican 31%
<1%
25
Kalraincumbent Democrat 70%
Winner
Stroll Republican 30%
<1%
26
Lowincumbent Democrat 74%
Winner
Gorsulowsky Republican 26%
<1%
27
Soria Democrat 51%
Winner
Pazin Republican 49%
<1%
28
Pellerin Democrat 68%
Winner
Lawler Republican 32%
<1%
29
Rivasincumbent Democrat 64%
Winner
Castro Republican 36%
<1%
30
Addis Democrat 60%
Winner
Nohrden Republican 40%
<1%
31
Arambulaincumbent Democrat 61%
Winner
Calandra Republican 39%
<1%
32
Fongincumbent Republican
Winner
Uncontested
33
Mathisincumbent Republican 62%
Winner
Sigala Democrat 38%
<1%
34
Lackeyincumbent Republican 56%
Winner
Smithincumbent Republican 44%
<1%
35
Bains Democrat 60%
Winner
Perez Democrat 40%
<1%
36
Garciaincumbent Democrat 53%
Winner
Weeks Republican 47%
<1%
37
Hart Democrat 58%
Winner
Stoker Republican 42%
<1%
38
Bennettincumbent Democrat 61%
Winner
Brocato Republican 39%
<1%
39
Carillo Democrat 57%
Winner
Marsh Republican 43%
<1%
40
Schiavo Democrat 50.2%
Winner
Martinez Valladaresincumbent Republican 49.8%
<1%
41
Holdenincumbent Democrat 60%
Winner
McMahon Republican 40%
<1%
42
Irwinincumbent Democrat 55%
Winner
Mills Republican 45%
<1%
43
Rivasincumbent Democrat 75%
Winner
Massaquoi Republican 25%
<1%
44
Friedmanincumbent Democrat 71%
Winner
Jacobsen Republican 29%
<1%
45
Ramosincumbent Democrat 61%
Winner
Martinez Republican 39%
<1%
46
Gabrielincumbent Democrat 65%
Winner
Caruso Republican 35%
<1%
47
Wallis Republican 50.0%
Winner
Holstege Democrat 50.0%
<1%
48
Rubioincumbent Democrat 61%
Winner
Maye Republican 39%
<1%
49
Fongincumbent Democrat 67%
Winner
Brink Republican 33%
<1%
50
Reyesincumbent Democrat 57%
Winner
Stark Republican 43%
<1%
51
Zbur Democrat 55%
Winner
Abramson Democrat 45%
<1%
52
Carrilloincumbent Democrat 57%
Winner
Porter Democrat 43%
<1%
53
Rodriguezincumbent Democrat 60%
Winner
Holle Republican 40%
<1%
54
Santiagoincumbent Democrat 79%
Winner
Alaniz Republican 21%
<1%
55
Bryanincumbent Democrat 84%
Winner
Cascio Republican 16%
<1%
56
Calderonincumbent Democrat 58%
Winner
Martinez Republican 42%
<1%
57
Jones-Sawyerincumbent Democrat
Winner
Uncontested
58
Cervantesincumbent Democrat 54%
Winner
Murphy Republican 46%
<1%
59
Chenincumbent Republican 70%
Winner
Sit Independent 30%
<1%
60
Jackson Democrat 55%
Winner
Diaz-Nava Republican 45%
<1%
61
McKinnorincumbent Democrat 64%
Winner
Pullen-Miles Democrat 36%
<1%
62
Rendonincumbent Democrat 64%
Winner
Estrada Democrat 36%
<1%
63
Essayli Republican 59%
Winner
Rizvi Democrat 41%
<1%
64
Pacheco Democrat 61%
Winner
Ortiz Republican 39%
<1%
65
Gipsonincumbent Democrat 62%
Winner
Iqbal-Zubair Democrat 38%
<1%
66
Muratsuchiincumbent Democrat 60%
Winner
Barks Republican 40%
<1%
67
Quirk-Silvaincumbent Democrat 53%
Winner
Yoo Republican 47%
<1%
68
Valencia Democrat 62%
Winner
Tardif Republican 38%
<1%
69
Lowenthal Democrat 59%
Winner
Austin Democrat 41%
<1%
70
Ta Republican 54%
Winner
Nguyen Democrat 46%
<1%
71
Sanchez Republican 51%
Winner
Rahn Republican 49%
<1%
72
Dixon Republican 56%
Winner
Mancuso Democrat 44%
<1%
73
Petrie-Norrisincumbent Democrat 56%
Winner
Choiincumbent Republican 44%
<1%
74
Daviesincumbent Republican 53%
Winner
Duncan Democrat 47%
<1%
75
Waldronincumbent Republican 68%
Winner
Voepelincumbent Republican 32%
<1%
76
Maienscheinincumbent Democrat 52%
Winner
Bruce-Lane Republican 48%
<1%
77
Boerner Horvathincumbent Democrat 60%
Winner
Downey Republican 40%
<1%
78
Wardincumbent Democrat 69%
Winner
Gonzales Republican 31%
<1%
79
Weberincumbent Democrat 64%
Winner
Sabol Republican 36%
<1%
80
Alvarezincumbent Democrat 69%
Winner
Gómez Democrat 31%
<1%

*Incumbent

Ballot Measures

Ballot Measures
The State Constitution would be amended to protect a person’s reproductive freedom “in their most intimate decisions,” including the right to abortion and contraceptives.
Yes 67%
Winner
No 33%

100% of votes in

Sports betting would become legal at Native American casinos and licensed racetracks.
Yes 33%
No 67%
Winner

<1% of votes in

Online and mobile sports betting would become legal for people 21 and up.
Yes 18%
No 82%
Winner

<1% of votes in

Yes 64%
Winner
No 36%

<1% of votes in

Yes 32%
No 68%
Winner

<1% of votes in

The personal income tax on income above $2 million would rise by 1.75 percent, with proceeds to help support the transition to zero-emission vehicles.
Yes 42%
No 58%
Winner

<1% of votes in

This measure would uphold a 2020 ban on flavored tobacco products.
Yes 63%
Winner
No 37%

<1% of votes in

Other Races

U.S. Senate

Lieutenant Governor

Attorney General

Controller

Insurance Commissioner

Secretary of State

Superintendent of Public Instruction

Supreme Court

Treasurer

Board of Equalization

Mayor

Sheriff

Analyzing the vote

Your guide to the midterm results, from Times reporters

  • Key races 

    Democrats secure “trifectas” in many competitive states

    Democrats held onto or gained “trifectas” in a number of states and fended off Republican supermajorities in others. Taking control of the governorship and both legislative chambers in these states could ease Democrats’ ability to pass legislation on an array of issues. Read more  — Andrew Fischer Nov. 17, 2022

    election results graphic
  • Arizona Governor 

    In Arizona governor’s race, post-election ballot tallies narrow the margin

    The gap between the candidates for Arizona governor narrowed considerably after Nov. 8 as late absentee ballots were tallied, including ones dropped off on Election Day. These ballots, which in 2020 favored Trump, were not enough to tilt the election in favor of the Republican candidate Kari Lake. — Christine Zhang Nov. 14, 2022

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  • Senate analysis 

    Where Senate Candidates Outperformed Biden and Trump

    With Senator Cortez Masto’s victory in Nevada, Democrats will retain Senate control, even if Republicans win a run-off election in Georgia. While Tuesday’s election represented a strong performance by a first-term president’s party, the individual showings of Senate candidates varied widely. Read more  — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 14, 2022

    election results graphic
  • U.S. House 

    Candidates with ties to QAnon conspiracy theory lose ground

    Three Republican House candidates who have supported QAnon underperformed compared with Trump, despite most House Republicans outperforming the former president. Lauren Boebert, incumbent in Colorado’s 3rd district, is in an unexpectedly close race in what was considered a safe Republican district. — Albert Sun Nov. 10, 2022

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  • Georgia Senate 

    Where Walker received less of the vote than Kemp

    More than 200,000 Georgia voters cast ballots for Brian Kemp, Republican candidate for governor, but did not vote for Herschel Walker in the Senate race. Compared to Kemp’s reported votes, Walker’s fell short in every county, but especially in the Atlanta area and its suburbs. — Jason Kao Nov. 10, 2022

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  • Mich. Proposal 3 

    Where Michiganders supported abortion rights and a Republican for governor

    Support for the abortion proposal was stronger than support for reelected Governor Gretchen Whitmer, a Democrat, in 76 of the state’s 83 counties. Eight counties that voted Yes on the proposal also voted for the Republican candidate for governor, Tudor Dixon. — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 10, 2022

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  • Path to 218 

    Tracking the remaining House races

    As of noon Eastern time, Democrats have won 190 House seats, Republicans have won 208, and 37 are still undecided. If Republicans win all of the races where they are currently leading by two points or more, they’ll take control of the House. Follow along here  — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 10, 2022

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  • Texas Governor 

    Greg Abbott wins in Texas, but still lagged in Hispanic counties

    In Texas, majority-Hispanic counties also swung to the right, but to a much lesser degree than in Florida. Voters in these counties overall continued to support the Democratic candidate for governor, Beto O’Rourke. — Albert Sun Nov. 9, 2022

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  • Florida Governor 

    DeSantis made large gains in Hispanic counties

    Majority-Hispanic counties in Florida voted to reelect Gov. Ron DeSantis over Democratic opponent Charlie Crist by a margin of 11 percentage points. These same counties favored Biden over Trump in 2020 by a margin of 8 percentage points — a whopping 19-point swing. — Albert Sun Nov. 9, 2022

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  • Drug policy 

    Mixed success for marijuana ballot measures

    Maryland and Missouri voted to legalize recreational marijuana for people 21 and older, while voters in Arkansas, North Dakota and South Dakota rejected similar measures. In Colorado, a measure to decriminalize certain psychedelics is close but yet to be decided. — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 9, 2022

    election results graphic
  • Abortion access 

    Where the midterms mattered most for abortion access

    Voters in three states enshrined lasting protections for abortion rights in their state Constitutions. In two states, shifts in state power could lead to new restrictions. In Ariz., Mont., Neb. and Pa., competitive state races with consequences for abortion remain too close to call. Read more  — NYT Graphics Nov. 9, 2022

    election results graphic
  • Pennsylvania elections 

    Four Pennsylvania counties split their tickets

    John Fetterman, the Democratic candidate for Senate, won by a smaller margin than Josh Shapiro, the Democratic candidate for governor. Four counties — all of which supported Trump in 2020 — voted for Shapiro but chose Dr. Oz, the Republican, for the Senate. — Ruth Igielnik Nov. 9, 2022

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  • Michigan elections 

    In Michigan’s national and state-level races, Democrats triumph

    Democratic House candidates outperformed Biden in several Michigan districts, bucking a rightward trend and maintaining seven of their seats. Democrats also won the Governor’s office, State Senate, and appear poised to take the State Assembly, and voters affirmed abortion rights in the state. — Albert Sun Nov. 9, 2022

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  • U.S. House 

    New York could be an important key in pathway to Republican control of House

    House districts rated as tossups have been called mostly in favor of Democrats so far, with one state as a glaring exception: New York. Republicans have won in four of five New York tossup seats, and the Republican candidate is ahead in the fifth. — Lauren Leatherby Nov. 9, 2022

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  • Election deniers 

    Which 2020 election deniers and skeptics won

    More than 210 Republicans who questioned the 2020 election have won seats in the U.S. House and Senate and in state races for governor, secretary of state and attorney general, according to results as of 12 p.m. Eastern on Wednesday. Here’s who won  — NYT Graphics Nov. 9, 2022

    election results graphic
  • Georgia Governor 

    In Georgia, a tale of two races

    While the race for Georgia’s senate seat remains extremely tight, the Governor’s race was decided last night. Brian Kemp gained more votes compared to Trump in 2020 all across Georgia, beating Stacey Abrams by a more than seven-point margin. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 9, 2022

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  • Ohio Senate 

    Vance carries Ohio Senate amidst statewide left swing

    J.D. Vance won Ohio handily even as almost every part of the state voted more for Democrats than they did in 2020. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 9, 2022

    election results graphic
  • Nevada Senate 

    Nevada’s urban counties could tighten race

    Cortez Masto is behind in Nevada at the moment, but there are a lot of votes left in Clark and Washoe, counties home to the state's largest cities. The remaining vote there could tighten the race as it is counted. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 9, 2022

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  • U.S. Senate 

    Three key Senate races to watch

    The Senate races in Georgia, Nevada and Arizona are very tight, and vote counting is expected to drag into the week. The outcomes of the races in these three states will decide the balance of power in the Senate. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 9, 2022

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  • Texas Governor 

    Despite defeat, O’Rourke maintained support along the border

    The feared Democratic collapse along the Rio Grande didn’t materialize. Beto O’Rourke performed better than expected in these majority-Hispanic counties. — Nate Cohn Nov. 9, 2022

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  • U.S. Senate 

    What each party needs to win control of the Senate

    Democrats and Republicans each need to win three more competitive Senate seats to win control of the chamber (in addition to the races they are expected to win most easily). Here’s the state of the closest races: — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 9, 2022

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  • Pennsylvania Senate 

    Fetterman ahead in counties finished counting

    With more counties nearly finished counting, things keep looking better for Lt. Gov. John Fetterman. He’s outperforming Biden across the state and is currently up 8 points in counties that were the closest in 2020. — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 9, 2022

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  • When polls close 

    Polls close at midnight Eastern in two states

    Alaska has competitive races for both the Senate and the House, neither of which is a straightforward Democrat-versus-Republican affair. Don’t expect quick results in either race; officials in Alaska won’t finish counting absentee ballots for about two weeks. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022

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  • Florida Governor 

    How Majority-Hispanic counties voted in Florida

    Gov. DeSantis outperformed Trump in Florida in every county that has nearly finished counting votes. While the three majority-Hispanic counties — Hendry, Miami-Dade and Osceola — shifted the most, Latino turnout tends to drop more in the midterms compared with other groups. — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 8, 2022

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  • Arizona Senate 

    Arizona’s Senate race looks like a tossup

    The early vote in Arizona has been strong for Democrat Mark Kelly, but we expect a good portion of the in-person and late-counted mail vote to favor Blake Masters. It could be awhile before all votes are counted. — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 8, 2022

    election results graphic
  • When polls close 

    Polls close at 11 p.m. Eastern in two states

    In Washington State, Senator Patty Murray is facing a strong Republican challenge, though she remains favored to win. Aside from that, the main action at this hour will be in the House, with a close race in Washington’s 8th District and at least half a dozen in California. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022

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  • Wisconsin Senate 

    Wisconsin is leaning toward Johnson

    It’s still early in Wisconsin, but it looks close. In the counties where most of the vote is in, Senator Ron Johnson is running ahead of Trump. — Nate Cohn Nov. 8, 2022

    election results graphic
  • Kentucky Amendment 2 

    Kentuckians appear to rebuke restrictive abortion amendment

    Kentucky, a solidly red state, reelected Rand Paul to the Senate. But so far, voters are rejecting an effort to deny abortion rights. However the state already bans abortions, and that is unlikely to change. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022

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  • Pennsylvania Senate 

    Early returns favor Fetterman

    It’s still early, but Fetterman is running ahead of Biden in five Pennsylvania counties that have reported nearly all of their votes. — Nate Cohn Nov. 8, 2022

    election results graphic
  • The Needle 

    How to read The Needle charts

    These charts show how the reported vote margin (the dashed line) compares with our estimated final margin (the solid line, surrounded by bands of uncertainty) over time. When reported data comes in that is not what we expected, our model will update and incorporate this new data. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022

    election results graphic
  • Virginia 7th District 

    Fast counting in rural Virginia counties boosts Republican candidate

    Rural counties in Virginia’s 7th district are counting votes more quickly than its most populous and left-leaning county, Prince William. It’s giving Yesli Vega, the Republican candidate, an edge over incumbent Abigail Spanberger, though this could be temporary. Here’s where we think votes remain. — Kennedy Elliott Nov. 8, 2022

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  • When polls close 

    Polls close at 10 p.m. Eastern in five states

    Nevada is the last big swing state of the day, and virtually everything is up for grabs: The races for Senate, three House seats, governor and secretary of state. There is also an unexpectedly competitive Senate race in Utah between Senator Mike Lee, a Republican, and Evan McMullin, an independent. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022

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  • Florida Governor 

    Shift to the right in Florida

    The shift to the right has been dramatic among counties in Florida reporting nearly all their votes. Eight of those counties that voted for Biden in 2020 shifted 16 points to the right in the race for governor, and 12 points in the Senate race. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022

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  • When polls close 

    Polls close at 9 p.m. Eastern in 10 states

    Arizona has multiple races featuring Republicans who have questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 election. In Wisconsin, Senator Ron Johnson, a Republican, is up for re-election against Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, and there is a close contest for governor. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022

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  • Ohio Senate 

    Another state with misleading early returns: Ohio

    Democrat Tim Ryan leads Republican J.D. Vance in the returns, but almost all of the results are early votes, which we expect to disproportionately favor Democrats. Here’s where we think votes remain. — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 8, 2022

    election results graphic
  • Georgia Senate 

    Why early results may be misleading in Georgia

    Senator Raphael Warnock is out with an early lead in Georgia, but it could all be just a mirage. Most of the vote reporting so far is early, and Democrats are expected to win those votes by a large margin. — Nate Cohn Nov. 8, 2022

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  • The Needle 

    The NYT Needle is live

    The Times’s election forecast is now running. We use early returns and polling data to estimate in real time the outcome of the elections for Senate and House control. Here’s how it works  — Nate Cohn Nov. 8, 2022

    election results graphic
  • When polls close 

    Polls close at 8 p.m. Eastern in 19 states and D.C.

    Pennsylvania is home to a close Senate race between Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, a Democrat, and Dr. Mehmet Oz, a Republican. Michiganders are voting on abortion rights. And Kansas’ Democratic governor, Laura Kelly, is in a tight re-election race, as is Gov. Janet Mills of Maine. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022

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  • When polls close 

    Polls close at 7:30 p.m. Eastern in three states

    Republicans are favored to win the open Senate races in North Carolina and Ohio, but if Democrats have a better-than-expected day, these are two places we might see evidence of it. We’ll also be watching competitive House races in N.C.-13 and Ohio-9. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022

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  • Florida Governor 

    Early vote in Miami shows Republican strength

    Gov. Ron DeSantis winning the early vote in Miami-Dade County — which voted for Hillary Clinton by +29 points just six years ago — is yet another sign of growing Republican strength among Hispanic voters. — Nate Cohn Nov. 8, 2022

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  • When polls close 

    Polls close at 7 p.m. Eastern in six states

    The Georgia Senate race, which could go to a Dec. 6 runoff, could determine which party controls the chamber. In Virginia, the performances of Democratic incumbents in the 2nd and 7th districts may offer early indications of how the party will fare in House races overall. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022

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  • U.S. House 

    What’s at stake in the House

    Republicans must win just 19 competitive seats to retake majority control from the Democrats. To retain control of the House, Democrats must win 46 of these seats (after accounting for the races the parties are expected to win most easily). — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 8, 2022

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  • When polls close 

    First polls close at 6 p.m. Eastern in Kentucky and Indiana

    In Kentucky, voters will decide whether to approve a constitutional amendment that would effectively ensure the implementation of a near-total abortion ban. In Indiana, a House race in the 1st district leans Democratic, but, if the seat were to flip, it could be an early sign of a red wave. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022

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  • U.S. Senate 

    What’s at stake in the Senate

    If Democrats hold onto two seats leaning their way, they will need to win three additional tossup seats to maintain control of the Senate. Republicans would need just two tossup seats beyond what they are favored to win. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022

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  • Results timing 

    Results in key Senate races could take awhile

    Six of the eight most competitive Senate races are in states that did not call a winner in the presidential race until after election night: Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. What we expect this year  — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 8, 2022

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  • Early returns

    Be wary of ‘mirages’ on election night

    Because of the order in which different types of ballots are counted, early returns can be misleading. In 2020, Virginia’s early vote for president favored Republicans, while Pennsylvania’s skewed toward Democrats. These “mirages” show that vote margins early in the night can change significantly. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022

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  • When polls close 

    Polls in most states will close by 9 p.m. Eastern

    Results will begin coming in at 6 p.m. Eastern as the first polls close in Indiana and Kentucky, but the pace will really pick up with a slew of closings at 7 and 8. By 9 p.m., the polls will have closed in a majority of states. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022

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About this data Demographic data are based on the U.S. Census Bureau 2016–2020 American Community Survey five-year estimates and provided by SocialExplorer.com. The National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) Urban-Rural Classification Scheme for Counties was used to group counties by size. Historical election results are from The Associated Press and from the Voting and Election Science Team, which analyzed precinct results to determine the 2020 presidential vote for 2022 House districts. “Most competitive” counties represent those in which Trump or Biden won by 5 points or less in 2020.