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New Hampshire U.S. Senate Election Results

Winner Winner

Maggie Hassan, Democrat, wins the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.

Race called by The Associated Press.

Latest results from Dec. 13
Vote totals certified

U.S. Senate race called.

U.S. Senate
Candidate Party Votes Percent
Maggie Hassanincumbent Winner
Democrat Dem. 332,193 53.5%
Don Bolduc
Republican Rep. 275,928 44.5
Jeremy Kauffman
Libertarian Lib. 12,390 2.0
Total reported
620,511

*Incumbent

Where votes have been reported and where votes remain

These maps show the leading candidates’ margins in the reported vote and estimates for which candidate leads in the remaining votes that we expect from each county.

Votes reported

Estimated votes remaining

We stopped updating these forecasts at 4 a.m. Eastern time on Wednesday, Nov. 9, as the bulk of the remaining races will be decided by mail ballots that will take days to count. These graphics and estimates will no longer be updated.

Town Margin Votes Percent of votes in
Manchester Hassan +16 37,155 100%
Nashua Hassan +20 32,071 100%
Concord Hassan +37 18,507 100%
Dover Hassan +38 14,963 100%
Salem Bolduc +14 12,977 100%
Merrimack Hassan +7 12,800 100%
Rochester Hassan +1.4 12,493 100%
Londonderry Bolduc +0.81 11,959 100%
Derry Bolduc +4 11,934 100%
Portsmouth Hassan +47 11,710 100%
Bedford Hassan +4 11,493 100%
Hudson Bolduc +7 10,287 100%
Keene Hassan +46 9,503 100%
Hampton Hassan +8 9,336 100%
Exeter Hassan +37 8,456 100%
Goffstown Hassan +2 7,708 100%
Windham Bolduc +7 7,535 100%
Laconia Bolduc +4 7,032 100%
Milford Hassan +10 6,899 100%
Amherst Hassan +19 6,681 100%
Hooksett Bolduc +1 6,652 100%
Pelham Bolduc +19 6,642 100%
Lebanon Hassan +55 6,155 100%
Durham Hassan +63 5,906 100%
Hanover Hassan +75 5,618 100%
Hollis Hassan +13 4,737 100%
Newmarket Hassan +37 4,723 100%
Barrington Hassan +9 4,710 100%
Hampstead Bolduc +13 4,645 100%
Stratham Hassan +22 4,611 100%
Somersworth Hassan +20 4,597 100%
Raymond Bolduc +18 4,542 100%
Bow Hassan +20 4,473 100%
Conway Hassan +21 4,367 100%
Claremont Hassan +6 4,291 100%
Weare Bolduc +16 4,282 100%
Gilford Bolduc +4 4,206 100%
Litchfield Bolduc +5 4,120 100%
Atkinson Bolduc +11 4,079 100%
Wolfeboro Bolduc +0.76 3,933 100%
Rye Hassan +19 3,713 100%
Meredith Bolduc +0.96 3,647 100%
Seabrook Bolduc +16 3,565 100%
Epping Bolduc +6 3,558 100%
Peterborough Hassan +44 3,524 100%
Hopkinton Hassan +31 3,466 100%
Plaistow Bolduc +11 3,372 100%
Pembroke Hassan +9 3,255 100%
Alton Bolduc +23 3,184 100%
Moultonborough Bolduc +11 3,180 100%
New Boston Hassan +0.35 3,177 100%
Kingston Bolduc +11 3,173 100%
Belmont Bolduc +18 3,161 100%
Auburn Bolduc +14 3,128 100%
Franklin Bolduc +7 3,096 100%
Swanzey Hassan +8 3,054 100%
Sandown Bolduc +18 3,001 100%
Berlin Hassan +9 3,000 100%
Nottingham Hassan +4 2,937 100%
Loudon Bolduc +15 2,936 100%
Brookline Hassan +6 2,911 100%
North Hampton Hassan +16 2,826 100%
Rindge Bolduc +20 2,821 100%
Chester Bolduc +14 2,736 100%
New London Hassan +32 2,691 100%
Wakefield Bolduc +24 2,610 100%
Deerfield Bolduc +8 2,602 100%
Farmington Bolduc +14 2,504 100%
Littleton Hassan +4 2,489 100%
Hillsborough Bolduc +3 2,485 100%
Brentwood Hassan +4 2,441 100%
New Ipswich Bolduc +40 2,433 100%
Greenland Hassan +19 2,421 100%
Fremont Bolduc +17 2,399 100%
Lee Hassan +35 2,395 100%
Jaffrey Hassan +10 2,390 100%
Epsom Bolduc +17 2,333 100%
Newport Bolduc +11 2,323 100%
Strafford Bolduc +0.61 2,313 100%
Plymouth Hassan +38 2,306 100%
Candia Bolduc +19 2,291 100%
Newton Bolduc +13 2,290 100%
Barnstead Bolduc +22 2,269 100%
Enfield Hassan +31 2,218 100%
Northwood Bolduc +0.64 2,192 100%
Danville Bolduc +20 2,147 100%
Henniker Hassan +20 2,105 100%
Grantham Hassan +39 2,084 100%
Gilmanton Bolduc +15 2,042 100%
Sunapee Hassan +9 2,038 100%
Ossipee Bolduc +19 1,997 100%
Chesterfield Hassan +15 1,961 100%
Northfield Bolduc +6 1,932 100%
Wilton Hassan +11 1,932 100%
Milton Bolduc +20 1,930 100%
Walpole Hassan +30 1,879 100%
Charlestown Bolduc +3 1,837 100%
Bartlett Hassan +29 1,807 100%
Allenstown Bolduc +5 1,752 100%
Sanbornton Bolduc +10 1,723 100%
Haverhill Bolduc +10 1,716 100%
Campton Hassan +10 1,715 100%
Dunbarton Bolduc +11 1,656 100%
Pittsfield Bolduc +14 1,618 100%
Canaan Bolduc +19 1,595 100%
Tuftonboro Bolduc +8 1,585 100%
Warner Hassan +18 1,578 100%
Bristol Hassan +0.9 1,548 100%
New Durham Bolduc +18 1,535 100%
Tilton Bolduc +2 1,532 100%
Boscawen Bolduc +0.46 1,515 100%
Mont Vernon Hassan +12 1,489 100%
Winchester Hassan +3 1,468 100%
Canterbury Hassan +21 1,461 100%
Hampton Falls Bolduc +5 1,440 100%
Tamworth Hassan +6 1,420 100%
Thornton Hassan +12 1,414 100%
East Kingston Bolduc +3 1,410 100%
Madison Hassan +14 1,402 100%
Chichester Bolduc +10 1,401 100%
Newbury Hassan +8 1,399 100%
Rollinsford Hassan +18 1,382 100%
Bethlehem Hassan +29 1,365 100%
Plainfield Hassan +39 1,357 100%
New Hampton Bolduc +7 1,313 100%
Hinsdale Hassan +13 1,295 100%
Gorham Hassan +16 1,288 100%
Lancaster Bolduc +0.62 1,287 100%
Antrim Hassan +5 1,286 100%
Kensington Hassan +5 1,240 100%
Holderness Hassan +22 1,218 100%
Andover Hassan +9 1,217 100%
Sutton Hassan +12 1,141 100%
Hancock Hassan +37 1,125 100%
Fitzwilliam Bolduc +1.3 1,122 100%
Newfields Hassan +16 1,091 100%
Whitefield Hassan +4 1,089 100%
Lyme Hassan +68 1,068 100%
Madbury Hassan +29 1,042 100%
Sandwich Hassan +30 1,026 100%
Webster Bolduc +4 1,004 100%
Marlborough Hassan +37 994 100%
Francestown Hassan +8 974 100%
Freedom Bolduc +4 949 100%
Ashland Hassan +8 946 100%
Cornish Hassan +20 945 100%
Lyndeborough Hassan +4 937 100%
Dublin Hassan +25 935 100%
Alstead Hassan +21 932 100%
Deering Bolduc +19 927 100%
Westmoreland Hassan +21 919 100%
Bradford Hassan +11 903 100%
Colebrook Bolduc +20 882 100%
Alexandria Bolduc +13 850 100%
Greenfield Hassan +7 825 100%
Wilmot Hassan +25 820 100%
Troy Bolduc +8 817 100%
Rumney Bolduc +13 812 100%
Middleton Bolduc +29 808 100%
Temple Hassan +10 791 100%
Mason Bolduc +16 772 100%
Salisbury Bolduc +13 768 100%
Springfield Hassan +3 754 100%
New Castle Hassan +26 753 100%
Northumberland Bolduc +13 752 100%
Greenville Bolduc +5 739 100%
Effingham Bolduc +17 736 100%
Lincoln Hassan +13 719 100%
Jackson Hassan +42 707 100%
Stoddard Bolduc +1.3 705 100%
Franconia Hassan +35 703 100%
Bennington Bolduc +0.73 688 100%
Bridgewater Bolduc +17 684 100%
Center Harbor Bolduc +3 672 100%
Washington Bolduc +12 669 100%
Woodstock Hassan +13 659 100%
Orford Hassan +36 655 100%
Unity Bolduc +22 652 100%
Harrisville Hassan +49 644 100%
Grafton Bolduc +9 615 100%
Milan Bolduc +7 614 100%
Lisbon Bolduc +7 608 100%
Danbury Bolduc +14 601 100%
Lempster Bolduc +18 571 100%
Newington Bolduc +4 541 100%
Jefferson Bolduc +24 539 100%
Richmond Bolduc +11 539 100%
South Hampton Bolduc +5 516 100%
Hill Bolduc +20 513 100%
Bath Bolduc +8 509 100%
Wentworth Bolduc +16 498 100%
Brookfield Bolduc +14 483 100%
Acworth Hassan +5 470 100%
Pittsburg Bolduc +36 470 100%
Hebron Hassan +1.1 466 100%
Dalton Bolduc +4 458 100%
Surry Hassan +15 445 100%
Carroll Hassan +4 427 100%
Croydon Bolduc +23 419 100%
Sugar Hill Hassan +37 419 100%
Monroe Bolduc +12 416 100%
Gilsum Hassan +3 401 100%
Warren Bolduc +14 374 100%
Goshen Bolduc +27 373 100%
Marlow Hassan +8 370 100%
Nelson Hassan +28 364 100%
Piermont Hassan +7 362 100%
Waterville Valley Hassan +13 361 100%
Albany Hassan +19 353 100%
Lyman Bolduc +11 326 100%
Langdon Bolduc +8 325 100%
Sullivan Hassan +9 322 100%
Groton Bolduc +18 312 100%
Columbia Bolduc +29 303 100%
Stewartstown Bolduc +43 301 100%
Eaton Hassan +25 270 100%
Stark Bolduc +30 252 100%
Stratford Hassan +2 251 100%
Randolph Hassan +43 241 100%
Sharon Hassan +13 236 100%
Shelburne Bolduc +4 225 100%
Landaff Bolduc +9 219 100%
Easton Hassan +38 213 100%
Chatham Bolduc +3 190 100%
Benton Bolduc +24 188 100%
Errol Bolduc +29 184 100%
Dorchester Bolduc +5 181 100%
Clarksville Bolduc +17 157 100%
Orange Hassan +5 149 100%
Dummer Bolduc +23 133 100%
Roxbury Hassan +38 106 100%
Windsor Bolduc +54 98 100%
Hale’s Location Hassan +28 71 100%
Ellsworth Hassan +6 63 100%
Hart’s Location Hassan +8 38 100%
Wentworth’s Location Bolduc +32 19 100%
Millsfield Bolduc +56 18 100%
Dixville Hassan +100 5 100%

How votes compare with 2020

The map below shows how votes cast in this race compare with votes cast in the 2020 presidential election in the same area. Only counties that have reported almost all of their votes are shown.

How votes compare with 2020
Town Margin 2020 presidential margin Votes Percent of votes in
Manchester Hassan +16 D+14 37,155 100%
Nashua Hassan +20 D+20 32,071 100%
Concord Hassan +37 D+32 18,507 100%
Dover Hassan +38 D+32 14,963 100%
Salem Bolduc +14 R+13 12,977 100%
Merrimack Hassan +7 D+6 12,800 100%
Rochester Hassan +1.4 R+1.4 12,493 100%
Londonderry Bolduc +0.81 R+1.1 11,959 100%
Derry Bolduc +4 R+7 11,934 100%
Portsmouth Hassan +47 D+46 11,710 100%
Bedford Hassan +4 D+3 11,493 100%
Hudson Bolduc +7 R+8 10,287 100%
Keene Hassan +46 D+40 9,503 100%
Hampton Hassan +8 D+8 9,336 100%
Exeter Hassan +37 D+34 8,456 100%
Goffstown Hassan +2 R+0.72 7,708 100%
Windham Bolduc +7 R+6 7,535 100%
Laconia Bolduc +4 R+6 7,032 100%
Milford Hassan +10 D+6 6,899 100%
Amherst Hassan +19 D+20 6,681 100%
Hooksett Bolduc +1 R+4 6,652 100%
Pelham Bolduc +19 R+20 6,642 100%
Lebanon Hassan +55 D+50 6,155 100%
Durham Hassan +63 D+55 5,906 100%
Hanover Hassan +75 D+75 5,618 100%
Hollis Hassan +13 D+14 4,737 100%
Newmarket Hassan +37 D+34 4,723 100%
Barrington Hassan +9 D+7 4,710 100%
Hampstead Bolduc +13 R+14 4,645 100%
Stratham Hassan +22 D+22 4,611 100%
Somersworth Hassan +20 D+14 4,597 100%
Raymond Bolduc +18 R+19 4,542 100%
Bow Hassan +20 D+20 4,473 100%
Conway Hassan +21 D+17 4,367 100%
Claremont Hassan +6 D+1.8 4,291 100%
Weare Bolduc +16 R+18 4,282 100%
Gilford Bolduc +4 R+5 4,206 100%
Litchfield Bolduc +5 R+6 4,120 100%
Atkinson Bolduc +11 R+11 4,079 100%
Wolfeboro Bolduc +0.76 R+0.34 3,933 100%
Rye Hassan +19 D+26 3,713 100%
Meredith Bolduc +0.96 R+1.6 3,647 100%
Seabrook Bolduc +16 R+13 3,565 100%
Epping Bolduc +6 R+6 3,558 100%
Peterborough Hassan +44 D+42 3,524 100%
Hopkinton Hassan +31 D+31 3,466 100%
Plaistow Bolduc +11 R+10 3,372 100%
Pembroke Hassan +9 D+3 3,255 100%
Alton Bolduc +23 R+25 3,184 100%
Moultonborough Bolduc +11 R+11 3,180 100%
New Boston Hassan +0.35 R+5 3,177 100%
Kingston Bolduc +11 R+14 3,173 100%
Belmont Bolduc +18 R+19 3,161 100%
Auburn Bolduc +14 R+16 3,128 100%
Franklin Bolduc +7 R+11 3,096 100%
Swanzey Hassan +8 D+6 3,054 100%
Sandown Bolduc +18 R+16 3,001 100%
Berlin Hassan +9 D+7 3,000 100%
Nottingham Hassan +4 D+4 2,937 100%
Loudon Bolduc +15 R+18 2,936 100%
Brookline Hassan +6 D+7 2,911 100%
North Hampton Hassan +16 D+15 2,826 100%
Rindge Bolduc +20 R+19 2,821 100%
Chester Bolduc +14 R+14 2,736 100%
New London Hassan +32 D+32 2,691 100%
Wakefield Bolduc +24 R+23 2,610 100%
Deerfield Bolduc +8 R+13 2,602 100%
Farmington Bolduc +14 R+18 2,504 100%
Littleton Hassan +4 D+1.6 2,489 100%
Hillsborough Bolduc +3 R+8 2,485 100%
Brentwood Hassan +4 D+5 2,441 100%
New Ipswich Bolduc +40 R+36 2,433 100%
Greenland Hassan +19 D+19 2,421 100%
Fremont Bolduc +17 R+17 2,399 100%
Lee Hassan +35 D+33 2,395 100%
Jaffrey Hassan +10 D+4 2,390 100%
Epsom Bolduc +17 R+18 2,333 100%
Newport Bolduc +11 R+15 2,323 100%
Strafford Bolduc +0.61 R+3 2,313 100%
Plymouth Hassan +38 D+32 2,306 100%
Candia Bolduc +19 R+24 2,291 100%
Newton Bolduc +13 R+13 2,290 100%
Barnstead Bolduc +22 R+19 2,269 100%
Enfield Hassan +31 D+31 2,218 100%
Northwood Bolduc +0.64 R+5 2,192 100%
Danville Bolduc +20 R+21 2,147 100%
Henniker Hassan +20 D+18 2,105 100%
Grantham Hassan +39 D+38 2,084 100%
Gilmanton Bolduc +15 R+16 2,042 100%
Sunapee Hassan +9 D+9 2,038 100%
Ossipee Bolduc +19 R+21 1,997 100%
Chesterfield Hassan +15 D+18 1,961 100%
Northfield Bolduc +6 R+12 1,932 100%
Wilton Hassan +11 D+10 1,932 100%
Milton Bolduc +20 R+18 1,930 100%
Walpole Hassan +30 D+27 1,879 100%
Charlestown Bolduc +3 R+2 1,837 100%
Bartlett Hassan +29 D+28 1,807 100%
Allenstown Bolduc +5 R+8 1,752 100%
Sanbornton Bolduc +10 R+13 1,723 100%
Haverhill Bolduc +10 R+12 1,716 100%
Campton Hassan +10 D+7 1,715 100%
Dunbarton Bolduc +11 R+12 1,656 100%
Pittsfield Bolduc +14 R+20 1,618 100%
Canaan Bolduc +19 D+13 1,595 100%
Tuftonboro Bolduc +8 R+7 1,585 100%
Warner Hassan +18 D+11 1,578 100%
Bristol Hassan +0.9 R+8 1,548 100%
New Durham Bolduc +18 R+20 1,535 100%
Tilton Bolduc +2 R+5 1,532 100%
Boscawen Bolduc +0.46 R+7 1,515 100%
Mont Vernon Hassan +12 D+16 1,489 100%
Winchester Hassan +3 R+0.1 1,468 100%
Canterbury Hassan +21 D+17 1,461 100%
Hampton Falls Bolduc +5 R+1 1,440 100%
Tamworth Hassan +6 D+3 1,420 100%
Thornton Hassan +12 D+13 1,414 100%
East Kingston Bolduc +3 R+6 1,410 100%
Madison Hassan +14 D+10 1,402 100%
Chichester Bolduc +10 R+9 1,401 100%
Newbury Hassan +8 D+11 1,399 100%
Rollinsford Hassan +18 D+12 1,382 100%
Bethlehem Hassan +29 D+24 1,365 100%
Plainfield Hassan +39 D+36 1,357 100%
New Hampton Bolduc +7 R+7 1,313 100%
Hinsdale Hassan +13 D+11 1,295 100%
Gorham Hassan +16 D+9 1,288 100%
Lancaster Bolduc +0.62 R+3 1,287 100%
Antrim Hassan +5 R+1.1 1,286 100%
Kensington Hassan +5 D+5 1,240 100%
Holderness Hassan +22 D+22 1,218 100%
Andover Hassan +9 D+7 1,217 100%
Sutton Hassan +12 D+13 1,141 100%
Hancock Hassan +37 D+36 1,125 100%
Fitzwilliam Bolduc +1.3 R+1.2 1,122 100%
Newfields Hassan +16 D+16 1,091 100%
Whitefield Hassan +4 R+3 1,089 100%
Lyme Hassan +68 D+66 1,068 100%
Madbury Hassan +29 D+28 1,042 100%
Sandwich Hassan +30 D+27 1,026 100%
Webster Bolduc +4 R+10 1,004 100%
Marlborough Hassan +37 D+29 994 100%
Francestown Hassan +8 D+5 974 100%
Freedom Bolduc +4 949 100%
Ashland Hassan +8 D+6 946 100%
Cornish Hassan +20 D+24 945 100%
Lyndeborough Hassan +4 D+2 937 100%
Dublin Hassan +25 D+26 935 100%
Alstead Hassan +21 D+17 932 100%
Deering Bolduc +19 R+18 927 100%
Westmoreland Hassan +21 D+18 919 100%
Bradford Hassan +11 D+8 903 100%
Colebrook Bolduc +20 R+20 882 100%
Alexandria Bolduc +13 R+16 850 100%
Greenfield Hassan +7 D+6 825 100%
Wilmot Hassan +25 D+23 820 100%
Troy Bolduc +8 R+7 817 100%
Rumney Bolduc +13 R+12 812 100%
Middleton Bolduc +29 R+25 808 100%
Temple Hassan +10 D+9 791 100%
Mason Bolduc +16 R+16 772 100%
Salisbury Bolduc +13 R+15 768 100%
Springfield Hassan +3 D+0.11 754 100%
New Castle Hassan +26 D+37 753 100%
Northumberland Bolduc +13 R+18 752 100%
Greenville Bolduc +5 R+3 739 100%
Effingham Bolduc +17 R+15 736 100%
Lincoln Hassan +13 D+13 719 100%
Jackson Hassan +42 D+45 707 100%
Stoddard Bolduc +1.3 R+1.3 705 100%
Franconia Hassan +35 D+37 703 100%
Bennington Bolduc +0.73 R+3 688 100%
Bridgewater Bolduc +17 R+13 684 100%
Center Harbor Bolduc +3 R+4 672 100%
Washington Bolduc +12 R+19 669 100%
Woodstock Hassan +13 D+14 659 100%
Orford Hassan +36 D+33 655 100%
Unity Bolduc +22 R+22 652 100%
Harrisville Hassan +49 D+46 644 100%
Grafton Bolduc +9 R+10 615 100%
Milan Bolduc +7 R+12 614 100%
Lisbon Bolduc +7 R+10 608 100%
Danbury Bolduc +14 R+17 601 100%
Lempster Bolduc +18 R+23 571 100%
Newington Bolduc +4 R+3 541 100%
Jefferson Bolduc +24 R+21 539 100%
Richmond Bolduc +11 R+17 539 100%
South Hampton Bolduc +5 R+3 516 100%
Hill Bolduc +20 R+28 513 100%
Bath Bolduc +8 R+15 509 100%
Wentworth Bolduc +16 R+7 498 100%
Brookfield Bolduc +14 R+18 483 100%
Acworth Hassan +5 D+4 470 100%
Pittsburg Bolduc +36 R+41 470 100%
Hebron Hassan +1.1 R+5 466 100%
Dalton Bolduc +4 R+12 458 100%
Surry Hassan +15 D+10 445 100%
Carroll Hassan +4 R+0.19 427 100%
Croydon Bolduc +23 R+29 419 100%
Sugar Hill Hassan +37 D+34 419 100%
Monroe Bolduc +12 R+15 416 100%
Gilsum Hassan +3 R+4 401 100%
Warren Bolduc +14 R+18 374 100%
Goshen Bolduc +27 R+20 373 100%
Marlow Hassan +8 D+14 370 100%
Nelson Hassan +28 D+25 364 100%
Piermont Hassan +7 D+11 362 100%
Waterville Valley Hassan +13 D+30 361 100%
Albany Hassan +19 D+13 353 100%
Lyman Bolduc +11 R+9 326 100%
Langdon Bolduc +8 D+1.7 325 100%
Sullivan Hassan +9 D+7 322 100%
Groton Bolduc +18 R+24 312 100%
Columbia Bolduc +29 R+34 303 100%
Stewartstown Bolduc +43 R+42 301 100%
Eaton Hassan +25 D+23 270 100%
Stark Bolduc +30 R+28 252 100%
Stratford Hassan +2 D+6 251 100%
Randolph Hassan +43 D+37 241 100%
Sharon Hassan +13 D+14 236 100%
Shelburne Bolduc +4 D+4 225 100%
Landaff Bolduc +9 R+10 219 100%
Easton Hassan +38 D+44 213 100%
Chatham Bolduc +3 R+10 190 100%
Benton Bolduc +24 R+23 188 100%
Errol Bolduc +29 R+33 184 100%
Dorchester Bolduc +5 R+8 181 100%
Clarksville Bolduc +17 R+20 157 100%
Orange Hassan +5 R+15 149 100%
Dummer Bolduc +23 R+25 133 100%
Roxbury Hassan +38 D+28 106 100%
Windsor Bolduc +54 R+45 98 100%
Hale’s Location Hassan +28 R+46 71 100%
Ellsworth Hassan +6 D+17 63 100%
Hart’s Location Hassan +8 D+7 38 100%
Wentworth’s Location Bolduc +32 R+50 19 100%
Millsfield Bolduc +56 R+52 18 100%
Dixville Hassan +100 D+100 5 100%

Live forecast: Estimating the outcome

This is our current best estimate for the outcome of this race. We look at the votes that have been reported so far and adjust our estimate based on what we expect from the votes that remain. See the full forecast ›

We stopped updating these forecasts at 4 a.m. Eastern time on Wednesday, Nov. 9, as the bulk of the remaining races will be decided by mail ballots that will take days to count. These graphics and estimates will no longer be updated.

How our estimated margin has changed so far

The lines below show how the reported margin (dashed line) compares with our estimated final margin (solid line surrounded by an estimate of uncertainty). As a rule, when our estimated margin is steady in the presence of new vote data, our forecast is more trustworthy.

+15 +10 +5 Even +5 +10 7:46 PM +10.6 Reported +9.0 NYT Est.3:59 AM ET

How the chance of winning has changed over time

20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 7:46 PM Hassan wins 3:59 AM ET

Estimated share of total votes reported

20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 7:46 PM 81% of votes in3:59 AM ET

Analyzing the vote

Your guide to the midterm results, from Times reporters

  • Key races 

    Democrats secure “trifectas” in many competitive states

    Democrats held onto or gained “trifectas” in a number of states and fended off Republican supermajorities in others. Taking control of the governorship and both legislative chambers in these states could ease Democrats’ ability to pass legislation on an array of issues. Read more  — Andrew Fischer Nov. 17, 2022

    election results graphic
  • Arizona Governor 

    In Arizona governor’s race, post-election ballot tallies narrow the margin

    The gap between the candidates for Arizona governor narrowed considerably after Nov. 8 as late absentee ballots were tallied, including ones dropped off on Election Day. These ballots, which in 2020 favored Trump, were not enough to tilt the election in favor of the Republican candidate Kari Lake. — Christine Zhang Nov. 14, 2022

    poster for video
  • Senate analysis 

    Where Senate Candidates Outperformed Biden and Trump

    With Senator Cortez Masto’s victory in Nevada, Democrats will retain Senate control, even if Republicans win a run-off election in Georgia. While Tuesday’s election represented a strong performance by a first-term president’s party, the individual showings of Senate candidates varied widely. Read more  — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 14, 2022

    election results graphic
  • U.S. House 

    Candidates with ties to QAnon conspiracy theory lose ground

    Three Republican House candidates who have supported QAnon underperformed compared with Trump, despite most House Republicans outperforming the former president. Lauren Boebert, incumbent in Colorado’s 3rd district, is in an unexpectedly close race in what was considered a safe Republican district. — Albert Sun Nov. 10, 2022

    poster for video
  • Georgia Senate 

    Where Walker received less of the vote than Kemp

    More than 200,000 Georgia voters cast ballots for Brian Kemp, Republican candidate for governor, but did not vote for Herschel Walker in the Senate race. Compared to Kemp’s reported votes, Walker’s fell short in every county, but especially in the Atlanta area and its suburbs. — Jason Kao Nov. 10, 2022

    poster for video
  • Mich. Proposal 3 

    Where Michiganders supported abortion rights and a Republican for governor

    Support for the abortion proposal was stronger than support for reelected Governor Gretchen Whitmer, a Democrat, in 76 of the state’s 83 counties. Eight counties that voted Yes on the proposal also voted for the Republican candidate for governor, Tudor Dixon. — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 10, 2022

    poster for video
  • Path to 218 

    Tracking the remaining House races

    As of noon Eastern time, Democrats have won 190 House seats, Republicans have won 208, and 37 are still undecided. If Republicans win all of the races where they are currently leading by two points or more, they’ll take control of the House. Follow along here  — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 10, 2022

    poster for video
  • Texas Governor 

    Greg Abbott wins in Texas, but still lagged in Hispanic counties

    In Texas, majority-Hispanic counties also swung to the right, but to a much lesser degree than in Florida. Voters in these counties overall continued to support the Democratic candidate for governor, Beto O’Rourke. — Albert Sun Nov. 9, 2022

    poster for video
  • Florida Governor 

    DeSantis made large gains in Hispanic counties

    Majority-Hispanic counties in Florida voted to reelect Gov. Ron DeSantis over Democratic opponent Charlie Crist by a margin of 11 percentage points. These same counties favored Biden over Trump in 2020 by a margin of 8 percentage points — a whopping 19-point swing. — Albert Sun Nov. 9, 2022

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  • Drug policy 

    Mixed success for marijuana ballot measures

    Maryland and Missouri voted to legalize recreational marijuana for people 21 and older, while voters in Arkansas, North Dakota and South Dakota rejected similar measures. In Colorado, a measure to decriminalize certain psychedelics is close but yet to be decided. — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 9, 2022

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  • Abortion access 

    Where the midterms mattered most for abortion access

    Voters in three states enshrined lasting protections for abortion rights in their state Constitutions. In two states, shifts in state power could lead to new restrictions. In Ariz., Mont., Neb. and Pa., competitive state races with consequences for abortion remain too close to call. Read more  — NYT Graphics Nov. 9, 2022

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  • Pennsylvania elections 

    Four Pennsylvania counties split their tickets

    John Fetterman, the Democratic candidate for Senate, won by a smaller margin than Josh Shapiro, the Democratic candidate for governor. Four counties — all of which supported Trump in 2020 — voted for Shapiro but chose Dr. Oz, the Republican, for the Senate. — Ruth Igielnik Nov. 9, 2022

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  • Michigan elections 

    In Michigan’s national and state-level races, Democrats triumph

    Democratic House candidates outperformed Biden in several Michigan districts, bucking a rightward trend and maintaining seven of their seats. Democrats also won the Governor’s office, State Senate, and appear poised to take the State Assembly, and voters affirmed abortion rights in the state. — Albert Sun Nov. 9, 2022

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  • U.S. House 

    New York could be an important key in pathway to Republican control of House

    House districts rated as tossups have been called mostly in favor of Democrats so far, with one state as a glaring exception: New York. Republicans have won in four of five New York tossup seats, and the Republican candidate is ahead in the fifth. — Lauren Leatherby Nov. 9, 2022

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  • Election deniers 

    Which 2020 election deniers and skeptics won

    More than 210 Republicans who questioned the 2020 election have won seats in the U.S. House and Senate and in state races for governor, secretary of state and attorney general, according to results as of 12 p.m. Eastern on Wednesday. Here’s who won  — NYT Graphics Nov. 9, 2022

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  • Georgia Governor 

    In Georgia, a tale of two races

    While the race for Georgia’s senate seat remains extremely tight, the Governor’s race was decided last night. Brian Kemp gained more votes compared to Trump in 2020 all across Georgia, beating Stacey Abrams by a more than seven-point margin. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 9, 2022

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  • Ohio Senate 

    Vance carries Ohio Senate amidst statewide left swing

    J.D. Vance won Ohio handily even as almost every part of the state voted more for Democrats than they did in 2020. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 9, 2022

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  • Nevada Senate 

    Nevada’s urban counties could tighten race

    Cortez Masto is behind in Nevada at the moment, but there are a lot of votes left in Clark and Washoe, counties home to the state's largest cities. The remaining vote there could tighten the race as it is counted. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 9, 2022

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  • U.S. Senate 

    Three key Senate races to watch

    The Senate races in Georgia, Nevada and Arizona are very tight, and vote counting is expected to drag into the week. The outcomes of the races in these three states will decide the balance of power in the Senate. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 9, 2022

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  • Texas Governor 

    Despite defeat, O’Rourke maintained support along the border

    The feared Democratic collapse along the Rio Grande didn’t materialize. Beto O’Rourke performed better than expected in these majority-Hispanic counties. — Nate Cohn Nov. 9, 2022

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  • U.S. Senate 

    What each party needs to win control of the Senate

    Democrats and Republicans each need to win three more competitive Senate seats to win control of the chamber (in addition to the races they are expected to win most easily). Here’s the state of the closest races: — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 9, 2022

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  • Pennsylvania Senate 

    Fetterman ahead in counties finished counting

    With more counties nearly finished counting, things keep looking better for Lt. Gov. John Fetterman. He’s outperforming Biden across the state and is currently up 8 points in counties that were the closest in 2020. — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 9, 2022

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  • When polls close 

    Polls close at midnight Eastern in two states

    Alaska has competitive races for both the Senate and the House, neither of which is a straightforward Democrat-versus-Republican affair. Don’t expect quick results in either race; officials in Alaska won’t finish counting absentee ballots for about two weeks. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022

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  • Florida Governor 

    How Majority-Hispanic counties voted in Florida

    Gov. DeSantis outperformed Trump in Florida in every county that has nearly finished counting votes. While the three majority-Hispanic counties — Hendry, Miami-Dade and Osceola — shifted the most, Latino turnout tends to drop more in the midterms compared with other groups. — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 8, 2022

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  • Arizona Senate 

    Arizona’s Senate race looks like a tossup

    The early vote in Arizona has been strong for Democrat Mark Kelly, but we expect a good portion of the in-person and late-counted mail vote to favor Blake Masters. It could be awhile before all votes are counted. — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 8, 2022

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  • When polls close 

    Polls close at 11 p.m. Eastern in two states

    In Washington State, Senator Patty Murray is facing a strong Republican challenge, though she remains favored to win. Aside from that, the main action at this hour will be in the House, with a close race in Washington’s 8th District and at least half a dozen in California. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022

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  • Wisconsin Senate 

    Wisconsin is leaning toward Johnson

    It’s still early in Wisconsin, but it looks close. In the counties where most of the vote is in, Senator Ron Johnson is running ahead of Trump. — Nate Cohn Nov. 8, 2022

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  • Kentucky Amendment 2 

    Kentuckians appear to rebuke restrictive abortion amendment

    Kentucky, a solidly red state, reelected Rand Paul to the Senate. But so far, voters are rejecting an effort to deny abortion rights. However the state already bans abortions, and that is unlikely to change. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022

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  • Pennsylvania Senate 

    Early returns favor Fetterman

    It’s still early, but Fetterman is running ahead of Biden in five Pennsylvania counties that have reported nearly all of their votes. — Nate Cohn Nov. 8, 2022

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  • The Needle 

    How to read The Needle charts

    These charts show how the reported vote margin (the dashed line) compares with our estimated final margin (the solid line, surrounded by bands of uncertainty) over time. When reported data comes in that is not what we expected, our model will update and incorporate this new data. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022

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  • Virginia 7th District 

    Fast counting in rural Virginia counties boosts Republican candidate

    Rural counties in Virginia’s 7th district are counting votes more quickly than its most populous and left-leaning county, Prince William. It’s giving Yesli Vega, the Republican candidate, an edge over incumbent Abigail Spanberger, though this could be temporary. Here’s where we think votes remain. — Kennedy Elliott Nov. 8, 2022

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  • When polls close 

    Polls close at 10 p.m. Eastern in five states

    Nevada is the last big swing state of the day, and virtually everything is up for grabs: The races for Senate, three House seats, governor and secretary of state. There is also an unexpectedly competitive Senate race in Utah between Senator Mike Lee, a Republican, and Evan McMullin, an independent. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022

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  • Florida Governor 

    Shift to the right in Florida

    The shift to the right has been dramatic among counties in Florida reporting nearly all their votes. Eight of those counties that voted for Biden in 2020 shifted 16 points to the right in the race for governor, and 12 points in the Senate race. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022

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  • When polls close 

    Polls close at 9 p.m. Eastern in 10 states

    Arizona has multiple races featuring Republicans who have questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 election. In Wisconsin, Senator Ron Johnson, a Republican, is up for re-election against Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, and there is a close contest for governor. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022

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  • Ohio Senate 

    Another state with misleading early returns: Ohio

    Democrat Tim Ryan leads Republican J.D. Vance in the returns, but almost all of the results are early votes, which we expect to disproportionately favor Democrats. Here’s where we think votes remain. — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 8, 2022

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  • Georgia Senate 

    Why early results may be misleading in Georgia

    Senator Raphael Warnock is out with an early lead in Georgia, but it could all be just a mirage. Most of the vote reporting so far is early, and Democrats are expected to win those votes by a large margin. — Nate Cohn Nov. 8, 2022

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  • The Needle 

    The NYT Needle is live

    The Times’s election forecast is now running. We use early returns and polling data to estimate in real time the outcome of the elections for Senate and House control. Here’s how it works  — Nate Cohn Nov. 8, 2022

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  • When polls close 

    Polls close at 8 p.m. Eastern in 19 states and D.C.

    Pennsylvania is home to a close Senate race between Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, a Democrat, and Dr. Mehmet Oz, a Republican. Michiganders are voting on abortion rights. And Kansas’ Democratic governor, Laura Kelly, is in a tight re-election race, as is Gov. Janet Mills of Maine. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022

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  • When polls close 

    Polls close at 7:30 p.m. Eastern in three states

    Republicans are favored to win the open Senate races in North Carolina and Ohio, but if Democrats have a better-than-expected day, these are two places we might see evidence of it. We’ll also be watching competitive House races in N.C.-13 and Ohio-9. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022

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  • Florida Governor 

    Early vote in Miami shows Republican strength

    Gov. Ron DeSantis winning the early vote in Miami-Dade County — which voted for Hillary Clinton by +29 points just six years ago — is yet another sign of growing Republican strength among Hispanic voters. — Nate Cohn Nov. 8, 2022

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  • When polls close 

    Polls close at 7 p.m. Eastern in six states

    The Georgia Senate race, which could go to a Dec. 6 runoff, could determine which party controls the chamber. In Virginia, the performances of Democratic incumbents in the 2nd and 7th districts may offer early indications of how the party will fare in House races overall. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022

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  • U.S. House 

    What’s at stake in the House

    Republicans must win just 19 competitive seats to retake majority control from the Democrats. To retain control of the House, Democrats must win 46 of these seats (after accounting for the races the parties are expected to win most easily). — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 8, 2022

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  • When polls close 

    First polls close at 6 p.m. Eastern in Kentucky and Indiana

    In Kentucky, voters will decide whether to approve a constitutional amendment that would effectively ensure the implementation of a near-total abortion ban. In Indiana, a House race in the 1st district leans Democratic, but, if the seat were to flip, it could be an early sign of a red wave. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022

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  • U.S. Senate 

    What’s at stake in the Senate

    If Democrats hold onto two seats leaning their way, they will need to win three additional tossup seats to maintain control of the Senate. Republicans would need just two tossup seats beyond what they are favored to win. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022

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  • Results timing 

    Results in key Senate races could take awhile

    Six of the eight most competitive Senate races are in states that did not call a winner in the presidential race until after election night: Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. What we expect this year  — Alicia Parlapiano Nov. 8, 2022

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  • Early returns

    Be wary of ‘mirages’ on election night

    Because of the order in which different types of ballots are counted, early returns can be misleading. In 2020, Virginia’s early vote for president favored Republicans, while Pennsylvania’s skewed toward Democrats. These “mirages” show that vote margins early in the night can change significantly. — Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022

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  • When polls close 

    Polls in most states will close by 9 p.m. Eastern

    Results will begin coming in at 6 p.m. Eastern as the first polls close in Indiana and Kentucky, but the pace will really pick up with a slew of closings at 7 and 8. By 9 p.m., the polls will have closed in a majority of states. — Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022

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About this data Demographic data are based on the U.S. Census Bureau 2016–2020 American Community Survey five-year estimates and provided by SocialExplorer.com. The National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) Urban-Rural Classification Scheme for Counties was used to group counties by size. Historical election results are from The Associated Press and from the Voting and Election Science Team, which analyzed precinct results to determine the 2020 presidential vote for 2022 House districts. “Most competitive” counties represent those in which Trump or Biden won by 5 points or less in 2020.