Week 1 Survivor Pool Analysis

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Pick Percent is the distribution of public picks on that particular site's survivor game.

Adjusted Win Probability is based on the probability of a team winning combined with the percentage of the population selecting each game. For example, the Patriots might be the top favorite one week, projected to win 75% of the time, but if 50% of the population is picking them, selecting them will not help you win your pool. Instead, in the one out of four scenario where the Patriots lose, you would survive while half of your pool is eliminated.

 
Team
New Orleans Saints NO
San Francisco 49ers SF
Buffalo Bills BUF
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB
Cincinnati Bengals CIN
Miami Dolphins MIA
Chicago Bears CHI
Detroit Lions DET
Seattle Seahawks SEA
Kansas City Chiefs KC
Atlanta Falcons ATL
Philadelphia Eagles PHI
Minnesota Vikings MIN
Dallas Cowboys DAL
Los Angeles Chargers LAC
Houston Texans HOU
Indianapolis Colts IND
Las Vegas Raiders LV
Cleveland Browns CLE
New York Giants NYG
Green Bay Packers GB
Pittsburgh Steelers PIT
Baltimore Ravens BAL
Denver Broncos DEN
Los Angeles Rams LA
Tennessee Titans TEN
New England Patriots NE
Jacksonville Jaguars JAC
Washington Commanders WSH
Arizona Cardinals ARI
New York Jets NYJ
Carolina Panthers CAR
OPP   ESPN Yahoo
Team Rank Win Probability Pick Percent Adjusted Win Prob Pick Percent Adjusted Win Prob
CAR #32 79.81% 0.00% 79.81% 9.83% 75.76%
NYJ #13 78.40% 0.00% 78.40% 3.37% 77.10%
ARI #26 75.81% 0.00% 75.81% 12.80% 69.91%
WSH #30 70.67% 0.00% 70.67% 2.49% 69.53%
NE #31 69.08% 0.00% 69.08% 46.22% 48.41%
JAC #19 69.08% 0.00% 69.08% 2.56% 67.85%
TEN #28 68.33% 0.00% 68.33% 3.71% 66.55%
LA #15 66.77% 0.00% 66.77% 1.06% 66.27%
DEN #27 59.57% 0.00% 59.57% 7.19% 55.70%
BAL #3 58.82% 0.00% 58.82% 1.47% 58.20%
PIT #17 57.22% 0.00% 57.22% 1.37% 56.66%
GB #11 55.02% 0.00% 55.02% 0.97% 54.59%
NYG #29 53.35% 0.00% 53.35% 0.96% 53.04%
CLE #14 52.95% 0.00% 52.95% 0.68% 52.64%
LV #23 51.68% 0.00% 51.68% 1.13% 51.16%
IND #20 50.83% 0.00% 50.83% 1.51% 50.03%
HOU #10 49.17% 0.00% 49.17% 0.09% 49.97%
LAC #21 48.32% 0.00% 48.32% 0.21% 48.84%
DAL #7 47.05% 0.00% 47.05% 0.13% 47.36%
MIN #25 46.65% 0.00% 46.65% 0.41% 46.96%
PHI #8 44.98% 0.00% 44.98% 0.20% 45.41%
ATL #12 42.78% 0.00% 42.78% 0.35% 43.34%
KC #2 41.18% 0.00% 41.18% 0.33% 41.80%
SEA #24 40.43% 0.00% 40.43% 0.13% 44.30%
DET #6 33.23% 0.00% 33.23% 0.07% 33.73%
CHI #16 31.67% 0.00% 31.67% 0.16% 33.45%
CIN #5 30.92% 0.00% 30.92% 0.13% 51.59%
MIA #9 30.92% 0.00% 30.92% 0.06% 32.15%
TB #18 29.33% 0.00% 29.33% 0.10% 30.47%
BUF #4 24.19% 0.00% 24.19% 0.11% 30.09%
SF #1 21.60% 0.00% 21.60% 0.13% 22.90%
NO #22 20.19% 0.00% 20.19% 0.08% 24.24%