Chances of Kamala winning all SEVEN swing states revealed - as surprising results put one candidate ahead
- Harris has gained ground and even claimed the lead in many swing state polls
- She faces long odds, however, on sweeping all seven of the purple states
- READ MORE: Trump leads Harris by two points in Daily Mail poll... as voters reveal their biggest hesitation about Kamala
The odds of Kamala Harris hitting a lucky seven and winning all the key swing states over Donald Trump in November's election are extremely long.
While Trump appeared set to cruise in many purple states against Joe Biden, polling has shown Harris gaining ground in some states and leading in others.
However, her chances of claiming all seven of the toughest contests - considered by experts to be Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina and Nevada - are quite low.
British oddsmakers William Hill give Harris just a 50-to-1 odds of sweeping those states, essentially a two percent chance.
Biden notoriously flipped Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan from red to blue to win in 2020, while hanging on to Nevada and losing North Carolina to beat Trump.
The odds of Kamala Harris hitting a lucky seven and winning all the key swing states over Donald Trump in November's election are extremely long
Harris holds decent to better than a coinflip odds on winning all of these states on their own.
The current vice president has a 69.2 percent shot of flipping North Carolina, 66.7 percent in Michigan, 61.9 percent in Wisconsin and 60 percent in both Georgia and Pennsylvania.
With those seven states in play, if Harris and Trump both equaled their results in the remaining races, it would leave Harris with an electoral vote lead of 226 to 219, with 270 votes needed to win.
Aside from Nevada and its six electoral votes, if Harris won any four of the remaining six swing states indicated, she would have the numbers to claim victory.
Based on the new figures, Harris has erased the lead Trump was building in the states before President Biden dropped out of the race.
However, in a DailyMail.com poll published earlier this week, the former president still holds a two-point lead over the new Democratic nominee.
Where other recent polls show the vice president surging ahead, our survey of 1001 likely voters found that 43 percent would vote for Trump if the election were tomorrow, compared with 41 percent who would vote for Harris.
With a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percent it sets the stage for a nail-biter of an election in November.
New findings by The New York Times suggest that the two presidential hopefuls are now in tight races across Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina
Trump had seemed set to run away with these states just a few weeks ago, with new findings showing Harris closing in on his lead
A separate online survey teased out the attributes responsible for Trump's lead. It found that voters still see him as the stronger, more charismatic candidate, who is more likely to get things done.
Even so, Harris scores better than Biden across the board. And it all suggests that she is shaping up to be a more formidable opponent than the 81-year-old she replaced.
Harris was catapulted into the race after Biden announced last month that he was giving up his reelection campaign.
Trump insiders were initially jubilant, expecting weeks of Democratic infighting. But the party quickly rallied around the vice president and will show a united front at its convention in Chicago next week.
The result has been a series of polls showing that Harris has overturned, or at least reined in, Trump's clear poll lead.
The first presidential debate between the two is set to be held in Philadelphia on September 10 and will be moderated by ABC News.
The first vice presidential debate between Democratic Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota and Republican Sen. JD Vance of Ohio will take place on October 1 in New York City, and will be hosted by CBS.
