The Brewers won their fifth straight game yesterday, and I think they keep rolling today. Milwaukee is 19-11 in its last 30 and a remarkable 26-12 at home this year, while the Cubs are 11-19 in their last 30 and 16-27 on the road. The Cubs do benefit from sending a lefty to the mound today as the Brewers hit better against righties, but Milwaukee starter Tobias Myers has been no slouch, giving up one run at most in six of his seven starts since getting rocked by Chicago in Wrigley in early May and earning the win in his last four outings. I think the perceived pitching mismatch is doing too much work in setting these odds.

Feel like the outs gods owe me after San Diego's Randy Vasquez on Friday. He was all but a lock to go Over his total before taking a comebacker to the hand. What can you do? Milwaukee's Tobias Myers had gone at least six in three straight until being pulled after 78 pitches last time out. As far as I know, he's healthy but there's a reason the books post these numbers.