Connecticut Weather: Nor'easter Chance Increases For Monday

The big question concerning whether another nor'easter will impact Connecticut's weather early next week is all about how close it will track to the state. A track close enough to Connecticut to impact our weather with snow and and wind can't be ruled out and new data Saturday shows the storm is likely to move closer to the state.

WTNH News 8 Meteorologist Gil Simmons‏ said on social media Saturday afternoon that new computer models show the storm now tracking "closer" to Connecticut for Monday night and Tuesday. This news is a bit of a change from Friday when computer models showed the nor'easter largely remaining off-shore and having very little impact on Connecticut. (Sunday AM update: Snow Accumulation Estimates Released for Our 3rd Nor'easter)

Meteorologists say the storm needs to be watched closely and more information on what impacts Connecticut may see will be known on Sunday. Southern Connecticut has a 40 percent chance for snow on Monday night and Tuesday, while Northern Connecticut has slightly better odds for snow at 60 percent, according to the National Weather Service.

"A storm developing over the southeastern states late in the weekend will have to be monitored closely for Monday and Tuesday. There is a lot of uncertainty regarding how close the storm comes to the region and what any impacts may be. The forecast should be monitored in the upcoming days due to the chance of mainly snow which may impact the region. The best chance of any impacts from the storm at this point in time is for southern and eastern parts of the region," the National Weather Service says.

Local meteorologists say they can't write off the nor'easter impacting the state.

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Here is the updated weather forecast for Southern Connecticut:

Tonight: Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming clear, with a low around 29. West wind 7 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 44. Wind chill values between 25 and 35. Northwest wind 6 to 10 mph.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 30. Wind chill values between 20 and 25. North wind around 8 mph.

Monday: A slight chance of snow before noon, then a slight chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 40. Wind chill values between 25 and 35. Northeast wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Monday Night: A 40 percent chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 32. Northeast wind 7 to 9 mph.

Tuesday: A chance of snow before noon, then a chance of rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 41. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Here is the updated weather forecast for Northern Connecticut:

Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 28. West wind 5 to 9 mph becoming light after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph.

Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 44. Northwest wind 6 to 9 mph.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 28. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

Monday: Increasing clouds, with a high near 44. Northeast wind 3 to 7 mph.

Monday Night: A chance of rain and snow before 7pm, then snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 31. North wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Tuesday: Snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 40. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Tuesday Night: A chance of snow before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 40%.